Hurricanes, Droughts, and the Global War Cycle

Bob Reuschlein is president of Reuschlein Peace Institute, has taught “Weather, Wealth, and Wars,” and has written on the temperature cycle, Madison, Wisconsin, USA

On October 29, 2012, Hurricane Sandy exceeded the 1960 modern record and 1821 all-time record for flooding in New York City’s Battery Park. The national drought of 2012 exceeded the droughts of 1988, 1934, and 1936. Science shows that the 55-year moving average that was perfectly straight from 1936 to 2000 with a correlation of 0.998 suddenly doubled in rate to 2 degrees per century, over the last decade, with a new correlation of 0.997 for the 2001-2010 period. These new findings indicate both a proof of the existence of the 54-year cycle and the new threshold higher rate of warming due to manmade carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. What else do these findings show about the future? The presenter will discuss the 48 events used to measure the cycle and their future projections, including the 2024 average major war and the 2036 average next Depression.

Highlights

Participants will leave this session with an understanding of:

  • The nature of the long cycle, how temperature connects to the economy, and how the economy connects to the war cycle.