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July 19-21, 2013
Hilton Chicago Hotel
Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.

Preconference Courses: July 18-19, 2013
Professional Members’ Forum: July 22, 2013

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Governing in Dire Straits

John Jarvis is a senior behavioral scientist and chair of the Futures Working Group in the Behavioral Science Unit at the FBI Academy. He has authored and co-authored numerous works that include recent publications appearing in The Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, The Journal of Homicide Studies, and the Journal of Trauma, Violence and Abuse, Quantico, Virginia, USA

Bud Levin has been a visiting scholar at the FBI Academy, where he also has served as futurist in residence. He is a founding member of the Futures Working Group. His papers have appeared in The Police Chief, Police Research & Management, and various FBI publications, Fishersville, Virginia, USA

John Jackson is a futurist specializing in public policy and police futures. He is former president of the Society of Police Futurists International and a member of the Futures Working Group. John has 18 years of experience in law enforcement and is currently serving as a sergeant with the Houston Police Department, directing the Strategic Foresight Unit, Houston, Texas, USA

Wendy Schultz is a futurist currently based in the United Kingdom working with a small group of business and community futurists creating foresight resources for business, government, nonprofit, and community leaders. Dr. Schultz is a former member of the Executive Council of the World Futures Studies Federation, Oxford, United Kingdom

In 2005, Hurricane Katrina struck the central Gulf Coast of the United States. In New Orleans, civil government was overwhelmed. For a week, the inhabitants of New Orleans struggled for survival. For a week, the institutions of government, including the criminal justice system, were essentially defunct.

The struggle for survival extended to first responders, who struggled to maintain order in circumstances in which their normal operating procedures were ill-fit. The repercussions of that struggle would color perceptions of New Orleans for years to come.

Whether the consequence of natural phenomena or the collapse of human systems, the potential for dire circumstances will continue to exist over the next 100 years. In dire straits, the capacity for continuity of governance can mean the difference between life and death.

A panel of futurists of the Futures Working Group will explore the future of governance in dire circumstances using the cutting-edge 3-Horizons methodology.

Highlights

Participants will leave this session with an understanding of:

  • The issues associated with delivering basic government services under a variety of potential disaster and collapse scenarios, including potential alternative forms of governance.
  • How to use the 3-Horizons method to evaluate implications and strategies.

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