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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future
November-December 2003 Vol. 37, No. 6

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Demography

Preventing Child Deaths
By Clifton Coles

Can we stop the rising number of child deaths? Yes, say experts.

More than 10 million children worldwide under five years of age die every year from preventable causes. Known, low-cost measures can reduce this number by two-thirds, report public-health leaders of the Bellagio Study Group on Child Survival.

Pneumonia and diarrhea predominate as the major causes of child death globally, with measles, malaria, HIV/AIDS, and malnutrition also high on the list. Asphyxia, premature delivery, sepsis, and tetanus are among the leading causes of deaths among young babies and newborns. Six countries--India, Nigeria, China, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Ethiopia--account for 50% of global deaths for people under age five.

Public-health leaders say that breastfeeding, use of insecticide-treated bed nets, measles vaccination, and rehydration therapy could reduce childhood deaths by two-thirds in the 42 countries with 90% of child deaths.

"There can be no further excuses for letting children die," writes the World Health Organization's Jennifer Bryce, who coordinated the report. "We have effective interventions, we know that children and mothers living in poverty are systematically neglected, and we know that the resources needed are available but are not being used to tackle child survival."

Bryce and other report leaders stress the necessity of improved leadership and public health systems, adequate and targeted resources, and increased public awareness to reduce child deaths worldwide. They estimate an annual cost of about $1 billion for vaccinations, $4 billion for the treatment of childhood illness, and an additional $2.5 billion for malaria prevention and treatment for all age groups combined. They also recommend profiting from the lessons of the child survival revolution of the 1980s and early 1990s, when a global movement reached beyond the public health community and mobilized parents, teachers, rock stars, sports figures, and presidents through highly publicized concerts and other venues.

Source: "Knowledge into Action for Child Survival" and four other papers by members of the Bellagio Study Group on Child Survival, published in The Lancet, www.thelancet.com.

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