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January-February 2007 Vol. 41, No. 1

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Environment

Wind Energy: Power from the Prairie
By Ron Rebenitsch

Serious investment in wind production could yield cheap energy.

It is one of those rare times when the North Dakota prairie is silent. All is quiet, except for the call of a bird and the yip of a coyote in the distance. In this part of the country, such stillness does not last long and soon the air begins to stir. A breeze begins to flow across the land, reaching the blades of the giant wind turbinesalert sentinels on the prairie quietly waiting for the wind to bring them to life.

The breeze reaches a gentle 3 mph and slowly begins rotating the wind turbine's three giant white fiberglass blades, each 120 feet long and weighing 16,000 pounds. The breeze must then increase to 8 mph before the turbines can begin to produce electricity. At that point, the wind turbine only generates 25 kilowatts of electricityjust enough for a few homes. However, as the wind picks up more speed, the amount of power generated by the turbine increases rapidly. It is going to be another windy day on the Dakota prairie, and electricity generated from the wind begins to flow from the prairie to the cities and towns of the region.

Wind energy from the Great Plains has the potential to develop into a significant energy source for the United States, and wind energy projects are beginning to appear in areas that have seen little economic activity since the Depression of the 1930s.

North Dakota has often been called the "Saudi Arabia of Wind" because of the steady and consistent winds sweeping across the prairie. A study sponsored by the Department of Energy ranked North Dakota as the top U.S. state for its potential to produce wind energy. Until recently, California generated the most wind energy of any state due to its early and widespread development of wind projects; however, California's total potential is far behind most of the Plains states, which contain good to excellent wind resources and promise to be a growing source of energy in years to come. Just recently, Texas surpassed California in wind generation and is continuing to add wind projects at a hurricane pace.

Wind energy is unique in that the amount of energy available increases dramatically as the wind's speed increases. This means high and steady winds are critical to the development of wind-energy projects. As a result, the Great Plainsespecially the Dakotasare a prime location for the development of farms to harvest wind energy for driving electrical generators. Throughout the year, the wind in the Great Plains is blowing most of the time (as any local resident will tell you). The vast prairies allow the wind to flow smoothly and faster without causing the turbulence found in mountainous or wooded regions. At the same time, the rolling landscape provides gently sloping ridges ideally suited for wind turbines. This combination makes for an excellent wind-energy resource.

Despite these advantages, Plains wind-energy producers face the challenges of transferring the power from turbines to the electricity market and then competing in that market. Although tax credits and benefits reduce the actual cost of the wind-generated electricity to levels below that of many conventional resources, two hurdles remain: the lack of electrical transmission lines and the intermittent nature of wind energy.

The Dakotas and surrounding states are eager to develop this vast resource but lack the large electrical transmission lines needed to export the power from the rural windy regions to the energy-hungry cities often located far away from the wind. The electrical grid needed for that task has been described as "the biggest machine on the planet." Hundreds of power plants, interconnected by thousands of miles of transmission lines across many states, are all running in precise synchronization with each other. At any given instant, the power grid must have power plants generating exactly the same amount of power that customers are using.

Most regions of the Great Plains have a very low population density, so the number of electrical lines in the region is limited. These lines are already used to export power from existing generationfossil-fueled power plants and hydropower from the large federal dams on the Missouri River. Most of the transmission lines in the regional grid are 20 to 50 years old and were designed and built for the generation projects and consumer loads that either already existed or were planned at that time. To move additional energy from sparsely populated windy regions to the areas where the power is needed, this electrical grid urgently needs to be upgraded and expanded.

Unfortunately, when the cost of upgrading the transmission system is added to the cost of wind-generated power, the economics of building a wind project becomes difficult.

The second hurdle faced by wind energyits intermittencyarises from the fact that, no matter how efficient the giant wind turbines have become, they can only generate power when the wind is blowing. Even then, constant changes in the speed of the wind means the output can vary dramatically and frequently. This intermittency reduces wind energy 's value because it cannot be easily scheduled to meet the demanding needs of the electric market. As one engineer put it, "We have a 'flip-the-switch ' power system. Every time consumers flip the light switch, they expect the lights to go on." Not only must the electrical grid supply power to those consumers instantly, it must also meet very exacting electrical requirements as it does so.

Given the need for a constant and reliable source of electricity, an intermittently generating wind turbine cannot replace the existing generators. However, when the wind blows, the power from the wind turbines is fed into the grid, allowing the existing generators to work a little less hardand consume less fuel. Wind energy is thus a "fuel displacer," conserving the fuel that would have been burned in conventional power plants. In addition to conserving fuel, wind energy helps reduce the emissions that would have otherwise resulted from the burning of that fuel.

The windas a fuelis free, but it costs money to build the wind turbines and interconnect them to the grid system. And the cost of wind-generated electricity must be competitive with the fuel it displaces in order to succeed in the electricity market. Right now, coal is more competitive because it's a cheap fuel. Coal is used to generate more than half of the electricity in the United States and is expected to continue to be a major fuel source for the foreseeable future.

In other areas, however, wind energy as a fuel-displacer can be very competitive with natural gas. The high prices for natural gas now exceed the cost of energy from advanced wind technology, even without considering some current federal tax benefits. That is a change from the 1980s and 1990s, when generous supplies of natural gas were available at reasonable prices.

The high price of natural gas, combined with a strong desire to minimize environmental impact of power generation has resulted in the wind energy industry seeing record growth in the United States. This growth is important not only because of the environmental benefits, but also because the generation, of wind energy means reducing the consumption of natural gas. Just as we all select less-expensive products when shopping, the electric industry is eager to reduce its use of expensive natural gas when the wind is blowing.

In August 2006, a major milestone was reached when the amount of utility-scale wind power installed in the United States reached 10,000 Megawatts, according to the American Wind Energy Association. That amount of generation is enough to provide for the average energy needs of about 1.6 million households. That wind energy displaces and conserves natural gas for other needs, such as home heating.

Despite advances in technology, continued growth of the wind industry is limited by the uncertainties of the production tax credits, which Congress has allowed to expire several times over the last 10 years. The Energy Policy Act of 2006 extended the credit again, but for only a brief period. These "on again, off again" tax policies have caused the wind-generation industry to experience several boom and bust cycles, as the credit has been extended, then allowed to expire. This uncertainty makes it difficult for industry to build the expensive production facilities to lower the cost of producing wind-energy equipment. Building large efficient factories requires long-range planningand the uncertain support of the federal government makes it difficult to make the necessary large investments. As a result, wind energy is far more advanced outside the United States, especially in places like Germany, Spain, and Denmark, where the market is seen as more stable.

Compounding the market uncertainty for wind energy in the United States is the inadequate transmission infrastructure, which poses a serious threat to the entire economy. Over the years, the once-strong electric transmission infrastructure has grown increasingly congested and stressed. Local opposition and muddled government policies have made it difficult to build the transmission lines necessary to move the power from the generating plants to the population centers.

Wind energy is here to stay and will grow, offering one more piece of the puzzle that the United States needs in order to assemble a sound overall energy portfolio that is not dependent on just one fuel or one technology. In short, boosting wind power in the United States will require:

  • Extending the production tax credit long enough to allow the construction of the factories to produce the wind turbines in high volume to bring down their cost.
  • Supporting research into storage technologies to mitigate the intermittency of wind generation.
  • Upgrading the national energy transmission system, which would also improve energy security by providing better management of regional electrical grids

About the Author
Ron Rebenitsch
is a registered professional engineer and manager at the Basin Electric Power Cooperative, a large regional power supply cooperative. E-mail rebenitsch@bis.midco.net.

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