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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future
July-August 2002 Vol. 36, No. 4

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Innovation and Impact

Personal Transporter

segway4.jpg (15832 bytes)It's faster than walking and more maneuverable than driving: It's Segway, a personal transportation system recently introduced in a glow of publicity. Segway's makers hope it will reach the consumer market in time for the 2002 Christmas shopping season. Expected retail price: $3,000-$4,000.

Innovation: Segway Human Transporter (a.k.a. "Ginger") is an electric-powered variation on a scooter, allowing the rider to stand with feet in a normal position rather than with one foot in front of the other. The key breakthrough is a dynamic stabilization system using gyroscopes and tilt sensors that continuously monitor the rider's center of gravity to maintain balance. Leaning slightly will direct the transporter forward or backward. It is designed as an alternative to walking, not driving, and can be used indoors or out.

Impacts: Faster delivery of the mail and increased productivity in warehouses are potential benefits. Large public spaces such as airports and shopping malls are also ideal spots for improved personal transportation. Segways could also be equipped with tow hooks for baby buggies or small trailers or wagons to help cart luggage and groceries, making them even more useful to pedestrians.

As Segway enhances an individual's power and mobility, it could do for city dwellers what the car did for rural dwellers--increase access to services. A Segway has a top speed of 12.5 miles per hour (three times faster than a quick walker). Street cops and security guards could patrol larger areas, making cities and buildings safer. On the other hand, the popular little portable may be extremely attractive to thieves.

Segway could clearly improve mobility for older persons and those with multiple sclerosis or other disabling conditions. But walking is one of the easiest and most popular forms of exercise. Any reduction in walking for exercise could be detrimental to a society fighting an obesity epidemic.

Public safety will be another concern as Segway riders begin zipping by unsuspecting pedestrians sharing the sidewalk.

As for environmental impacts, the manufacturer's zero-emissions claim for Segway is laudable, but since the transporter is intended to be a substitute for walking rather than driving it is unlikely to affect pollution levels.

For more information, contact: Segway LLC, 286 Commercial Street, Manchester, New Hampshire 03101. Telephone 1-866-473-4929; Web site www.segway.com.

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