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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future

May-June 2007 Vol. 41, No. 3

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World Trends & Forecasts


Society

Love and Immigration
By Cynthia G. Wagner
 

Immigration is apparently slowing down the rate of marriages between individuals of different ethnic and racial groups in the United States, report researchers at Ohio State University.

"These declines in intermarriages are a significant departure from past trends," says sociology professor Zhenchao Qian. Interracial and inter-ethnic marriages began accelerating in the 1970s and grew throughout the 1980s, but then declined significantly in the 1990s as immigrant populations boomed. "More native-born Asian Americans and Hispanics are marrying their foreign-born counterparts," he notes. 

Cohabitation is likewise on the decline among interracial couples, the study notes. Education levels seem to be the key variable, as rates of interracial marriages tend to go up with increasing levels of education. "The melting pot is clearly bubbling, but mostly along class lines, with the highly educated most likely to cross racial and ethnic lines to marry," according to Qian.

Interracial relationships are lowest among African Americans, who are more likely than Hispanics and Asian Americans to be segregated by schools and neighborhoods and thus have fewer opportunities to mix with members of other races. "Interracial marriages between African Americans and whites will continue to increase, but it will take a lot for blacks to get near the levels of intermarriages seen by other minority groups," Qian believes.

Settling in America: Welcome vs. Welfare
One possible factor in immigration's braking effect on interracial and interethnic marriages is that legal immigrants to the United States are congregating in more immigrant-friendly communities.

According to an unrelated study at the University of California at Irvine, a welcoming community is more important than greater welfare benefits in encouraging legal immigrants to become naturalized U.S. citizens. Places where the locals consider immigrants "hardworking and beneficial" and where English-only policies are opposed are more likely to see legal immigrants undergo the naturalization process.

Among the most immigrant-friendly places are Arizona, the District of Columbia, Hawaii, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Washington, according to the study led by demographers Susan K. Brown and Frank D. Bean. The availability of more welfare benefits in a particular state does not significantly influence immigrants to naturalize there, says Bean.

Sources: Ohio State University, Research Communications, 1125 Kinnear Road, Columbus, Ohio 43212. Web site http://researchnews.osu.edu.

University of California, Irvine, News Service, Irvine, California 92697. Web site http://today.uci.edu.

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