WFS Home Page

Futurist_logo_yellow_72dpi.jpg (24529 bytes)
A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future
January-February 2004 Vol. 38, No. 1

Contents of the Current Issue

Back Issues

Online Indexes:
Author Index A-L
Author Index M-Z
Index of News Articles

Reprints/ Permissions

Writer's Guidelines

Send a Letter to the Editor

Top 10 Forecasts From Outlook 2004 Report

Tomorrow in Brief
edited by Cindy Wagner

3D-TV: Closer to Reality?
Software that merges images from several projectors onto a single screen could bring 3-D TV closer to reality. Developed by researchers at the Fraunhofer Institute in Berlin, the Home Display 2007 system superimposes images from digital television, high-dimensional television, slide projector shows, video games, 3-D architectural scenes, and more to give a clear, sharp, multidimensional image. Unlike earlier versions of two-projection 3-D TV, the new system automatically calibrates the multiple projections, fitting the images together precisely. With the addition of a surround-sound system, the effect will be like "being there," say the researchers.

Source: Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft, Hansastrasse 27C, 80686 Munich, Germany. Web site www.fraunhofer.de

Nanotech Aids Antiaging Research
Scientists are now using nanolasers to learn what goes wrong with mitochondria. The malfunctioning of these energy-producing organelles inside cells has been linked to Alzheimer's disease, among other age and brain-related maladies. Researchers at Sandia National Laboratories are now using a biolaser that operates at the nanometer range in order to study the reactions of the ultra-tiny mitochondria (averaging a few hundred nanometers) while they are functioning. The goal is to discover what drugs might be used to protect the mitochondria from malfunctioning and wreaking havoc in cells. "'Waterproofing' the mitochondria with specific protectant drugs would increase the survival chances of the brain," says neurosurgeon Marcus Keep of the University of New Mexico School of Medicine.

Source: Sandia National Laboratories, News Center, P.O. Box 5800, Albuquerque, New Mexico 87185-0165. Web site www.sandia.gov.

A Calmer Sun May Reduce Global Warming
Good news for our warming planet: A decline in solar activity could mean that the sun's contribution to climate change will fall slightly over the next century. Studying 11,000 years of solar activity, British astrophysicist Mark Clilverd and colleagues conclude that solar flares, sun spots, geomagnetic storms, and other solar activity will soon peak, along with heat output. The sun's irradiation may account for about 4% to 20% of the increase in global warming over the past century. Clilverd speculates that solar activity ebbs and flows in cycles ranging from 10 to 10,000 years; he warns that, although solar activity may fall in the next century, it will return to current levels by 2200.

Source: British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, United Kingdom. Web site www.antarctica.ac.uk. www.antarctica.ac.uk.

Water-Powered Batteries
Mobile phones, calculators, and other battery-powered devices might one day be charged up with water, according to researchers at the University of Alberta. Here's how: Tap water pumped through tiny microchannels would create an electrical charge. Electrodes placed at the ends of the channels would convert the electric charge into clean electric power, says the team of physicists. With several million small microchannels working together, the power output could be increased, perhaps even enough to contribute to a national power grid, the researchers speculate. "It's possible that it could be a new alternative energy source to rival wind and solar power, but this would need huge bodies of water to work on a commercial scale," says team member Larry Kostiuk, a mechanical engineering professor.

Source: Institute of Physics, 76 Portland Place, London W1B 1NT, United Kingdom. Web site www.iop.org. www.iop.org.

Predicting Terrorist Attacks
Terrorist attacks do not usually come out of nowhere. Plans, preparations, and even preliminary crimes not considered "terrorism" often precede attacks, and if investigators could better track these activities they might be able to prevent the attacks. A new study center at the University of Arkansas aims to do just that. The Terrorism Research Center will collect data from the court records of more than 500 known terrorists in order to glean the patterns of activity preceding attacks. "Terrorists commit hundreds of preparatory and ancillary crimes . . . that might give us some indication of the routinized patterns of preparatory conduct," says sociology professor Brent Smith, director of the center. "Our goal is to map those preparatory crimes by time and location to determine if patterns of conduct exist."

Source: University of Arkansas, University Relations, 800 Hotz Hall, Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701. Web site www.uark.edu.

To order the print edition of the January-February  2004 issue of THE FUTURIST ($4.95 plus $3 postage and handling) or to become a member of the World Future Society ($45 per year).

COPYRIGHT © 2004 WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, Maryland 20814. Tel. 301-656-8274. E-mail info@wfs.org. Send comments about our web pages to: webmaster@wfs.org. All rights reserved.