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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future
July-August 2005 Vol. 39, No. 4

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Author Index A-L
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Top 10 Forecasts From Outlook 2005 Report

Tomorrow in Brief
edited by Cindy Wagner

Analyzing the Blogosphere

The content of weblogs, or blogs, could provide a vivid picture of the future social landscape, according to a communications scholar at the University at Buffalo. A new long-term research project will attempt to create a method for analyzing not just how blogs are used but what they actually say about the larger culture. Some 4 million blogs now exist to provide an outlet for individuals to express their opinions or share information with the rest of the world, and their numbers are accelerating as new uses are found, such as for emergency communication or political rallying and fund raising. Blogging tends to be most popular in the geographic centers favored by the "cultural elite"--trend-setters of high socioeconomic status. Analyzing blogs' content could therefore reveal clues to new cultural directions, like having a weather report for society, according to study director Alexander Halavais.
Source: State University of New York at Buffalo, News Services, 330 Crofts Hall, Buffalo, New York 14260. Web site www.buffalo.edu.

Fish Pirates

Pirates are poaching fish before fishers can get them to market, raising concernslobster.jpg (35171 bytes)about future supplies of this important food source. "Illegal, unregulated, and unreported fishing is happening over a large expanse of ocean by people who are highly mobile and whose chance of being caught is very small," according to environmental economist Jon G. Sutinen of the University of Rhode Island. Homeland security and drug interdiction efforts are taking more Coast Guard resources away from controlling fishing violations. Tracking piracy is difficult, but Sutinen believes illegal fishing has likely increased in New England due to pressures such as stricter regulations, deteriorating stocks, and stronger markets. One solution he suggests is to give fishers exclusive-use rights over particular areas, which would give the fishers incentives to protect the areas from being plundered.
Source: University of Rhode Island, Department of Communications/News Bureau, 22 Davis Hall, 10 Lippitt Road, Kingston, Rhode Island 02881. Web site www.uri.edu.

 Functional Ink

functink.jpg (25930 bytes)Researchers are making progress in developing functional inks--the materials that are used to print out three-dimensional metal parts. Parts aren't just parts--they need specific features, such as hard surfaces and soft interiors, electromagnetic properties, or heat resistance. At the Fraunhofer Institute in Germany, researchers have been able to integrate many features into components by using additional printerheads for the needed functional inks. Thus, they could create steel that would be hard in specific places.
Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Manufacturing Engineering and Applied Materials Research, Wienerstrasse 12, 28359 Bremen, Germany. Web site www.fraunhofer.de.

Podcasting Booms

The rise of satellite radio has been rapid in the United States, but its appeal to upscale households could also mean rapid market saturation. To keep growing, satellite radio providers need to consider expanding options for the less-wealthy public, warns a new report from Forrester Research. One hint of things to come is the emergence of podcasting--subscription-based music and other programming sent directly to users' MP3 players. Unlike free commercial radio, however, customers get to choose what they hear and when, and they can easily record the music to share, store, or enjoy anytime. Podcasting will see significant growth by 2010, reaching 12.3 million U.S. households, thanks to wider adoption of MP3 and broadband services, according to Forrester.
Source: Forrester Research, 400 Technology Square, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139. Web site www.forrester.com

Alternative Medicine Gains Popularity

Seventy-one percent of Americans over age 50 report using acupuncture, herbal medicine, or some other alternative treatment, up from about 62% in 2002, according to a study by Ohio State University. One problem with this growing dependence on alternatives is that they have not been tested for safety and effectiveness, warns lead researcher Gong-Soog Hong. The most-likely users of the alternatives were African Americans, widows, and religious people, as well as those who described their health as poor. Typically, older adults have more chronic problems that conventional medicines don't solve, so people in pain try everything they can get their hands on, Hong explains. As populations grow older, the medical establishment may need to move more quickly toward understanding nontraditional medicines and the patients who use them, she suggests.
Source: Ohio State University, Research Communications, 1125 Kinnear Road, Columbus, Ohio 43212. Web site www.osu.edu.

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