10 Imperatives for Peace
by John Richardson
SUMMARY: Sri Lanka's ongoing civil wars have been fueled by
development failures that could have been prevented. The author, an
international development scholar who has studied Sri Lanka's conflict
from a multidisciplinary perspective over the past 20 years, outlines
the 10 "imperatives" for preventing deadly conflict and terrorism:
1. Maintain public order;
2. Forgo polarizing political rhetoric;
3. Meet the needs and aspirations of young ("fighting-age") men;
4. Support professional, apolitical internal security forces;
5. Promote development policies that enable citizens to live a good
life and feel optimistic about their and their children's future
prospects;
6. Create development policies that take a middle ground using the
best of capitalist and socialist principles;
7. Promote democratic governance that is open to self-correction;
8. Encourage multinational businesses to take a proactive role in
successful development policies;
9. Institutionalize the long-term view with programs that won't
disappear with a change of administration; and
10. Rigorously weigh the opportunity costs of military vs.
nonmilitary interventions in complex problems.
Strategy and the Search for Peace
by Gregory D. Foster
SUMMARY: A new approach to "strategy" is needed that includes
strategies for global peace. Because of the future's uncertainty,
complexity, and turbulence, governments and civic organizations need to
take a more strategic approach to resolving potential conflicts, and aim
to avert those conflicts and crises by addressing their underlying
causes. When the aim is peace, the goal of strategy is not necessarily
to attain a competitive advantage but to avoid the conflicts of
competition.
PLUS: Commentaries by Edward N. Luttwak of the Center for
Strategic and International Studies; James N. Rosenau, political
science professor at George Washington University; Joergen Oestroem
Moeller,
a visiting senior research fellow at the Institute of Southeast Asian
Studies in Singapore; Andrew J. Bacevich, a professor of
international relations at Boston University; and Pamela R Aall, vice
president of the U.S. Institute for Peace's education program.
OUTLOOK 2007
by WFS staff
SUMMARY: A roundup of the year's most thought-provoking forecasts in
technology, society, energy, health and medicine, religion and values,
the environment, economics, and much more.
Order now.
Technology's Promise: Highlights from the TechCast Project
by William E. Halal
SUMMARY: Update of the ongoing Technology Forecast project, which has
for more than a decade enlisted the insights of technology specialists
to forecast significant breakthroughs, estimated time of mainstream
penetration, and level of certainty of the forecast. Among the topics
receiving particular note: alternative energy, desalination, quantum
computing, virtual education, smart robots, artificial organs, life
extension, automated highways, and space tourism. The article concludes
with a decade-by-decade scenario of how the "technological revolution"
may unfold through 2050.
Partners for Progress: Creating Global Strategies for Humanity's
Future
by Cynthia G. Wagner
SUMMARY: Relationships matter, concluded several speakers at the
World Future Society's annual meeting. Highlights included insights from
Ray Kurzweil, Joel Garreau, Pamela Wallin, and many others.
Read article.
VISIONS: Rethinking Emergency Housing
by Patrick Tucker; images by StudioRED / Hord Coplan Macht
SUMMARY: Rehousing the displaced as quickly as possible is a high
priority when disaster strikes. Well designed and planned modular
constructions - beyond the "trailer park" paradigm - could become more
than a temporary solution to housing crises.