July-August 2009

July-August 2009 (Volume 43, No. 4)

Stephen Thaler’s Imagination Machines

Inventor Stephen Thaler discusses his revolutionary form of AI — a highly proficient synthetic consciousness that has quietly existed for more than 30 years.

Assessing Global Trends for 2025

In November 2008, the National Intelligence Council released a landmark study, Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World. The report lays out the possibility of a future very different from the reality to which most of the world is accustomed. THE FUTURIST asked four experts — Newt Gingrich, Elaine C. Kamarck, Peter Schiff, Dennis Kucinich — for their views on the report’s key forecasts and what the future of the United States, Asia, and the global economy looks like now, in the wake of the global financial crisis. PDF Available

World Trends and Forecasts

Government Are Small Governments Getting Too Big? Local and state governments in the U.S. may be restricting individual rights.

Technology

Building the Internet of the Future

More fibers, faster downloads are key to more capable Internet.

Economics

Internet Fraud on the Rise

Spike in Internet crime complaints concerns U.S. law enforcement.

Tomorrow in Brief

Ice That “Burns”

Trouble Ahead for Suburbanites?

Sunny—with a 50% Chance of Migraine!

Rising Sea Levels Will Threaten New York

WordBuzz: Open Dictionary

Books

Big Ideas for Saving the Earth

Some of the most thoughtful work on the topic of climate change appears in Jamais Cascio’s new e-book, Hacking the Earth. Cascio is a Bay Area futurist who worked with Global Business Network during the 1990s and is currently a research affiliate at the Institute for the Future, a global futures strategist at the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology, and a fellow at the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies. Review by Bob Olson

How Evolution Is Evolving

Mainstream science maintains that humans stopped evolving about 50,000 years ago. Civilization put an end to process. Therefore, the human of the pre-modern era is the human of today and will be the human tomorrow, right? Not so fast, say scientists Gregory Cochran and Henry Harpending. In The 10,000 Year Explosion, they argue that humankind is evolving even faster in the modern age. We developed new genetic traits as recently as the Middle Ages. The Ashkenazi (or European) Jews, for instance, don’t just seem smarter; they demonstrate a genetic predisposition toward higher intelligence. By Patrick Tucker

The Automation of Invention

By Robert Plotkin

Yesterday’s inventors toiled away in workshops, painstakingly designing, building, testing, and refining their creations. In contrast, tomorrow’s inventors will spend their days writing descriptions of the problems they want to solve, and then hand those descriptions over to computers to work out the solutions. PDF Available

Mining Information from the Data Clouds

By Erica Orange

This cloud of data that we daily contribute to may yield a wealth of new, vital information. “Cloud mining” may soon allow us to predict behaviors of the masses and even offer advice, according to a business futurist.PDF Available

Ten Forces Driving Business Futures

By Michael Richarme

In a struggling economy, the forces of change are putting more pressures on businesses and from more directions. Success requires both staying on top of current trends and spotting new ones over the horizon. PDF Available

A Rendezvous with Austerity: How American Consumers Will Learn New Habits

By David Pearce Snyder

The forces of global economic retraction and technological evolution are altering the outlook for American consumers. If they can tighten their belts awhile, they may yet see a new form of prosperity—one whose well-being is more sustainable.