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The World Is Round: A Real Plan to
Solve Global Problems in this Generation
By Anil Hira
Introduction: The Mounting Dislocations of the Emerging Global Economy
We live in an era of great transformation. Citizens everywhere can feel
the ground shifting from under them, yet we do not yet have a road map
of the changes, let alone a blueprint for how to address them. We have
all noticed the breakdown of steady employment prospects. The dream of
so many immigrants to make a middle class life for themselves in the
West continues, but the reality is that most of us are constantly
worried about losing our jobs and our benefits, as well as whether we
will have adequate funds to retire. We all feel increasing insecurity,
when, after the jubilation at the fall of the Berlin Wall, we now face
not conventional armies but violence aimed towards us civilians at any
time or place. Every time we enter the airport, the change from just 5
years ago is palpable. Our news is filled with more indirect threats
that reflect this new age of insecurity. Citizens under the so-called
"Minuteman" program are trying to enforce US- Mexican border. Leaders
make pronouncements about the global fight against AIDs, but the battle
is not anywhere near won.
In the meantime, diseases such as polio and tuberculosis threaten to
make a comeback. Industries that employ thousands of workers, from coal
mining to automobiles to IT (information technology) to textiles
threaten to go under at any point. Financial disasters such as those in
the Enron and MCI cases seem to demonstrate that these are not just
events that occur in places such as Argentina and Indonesia.
Our graying population is finding it ever more difficult to retire
amidst the dot com burst of stock market values and real estate prices
shooting through the roof in what everyone expects will be another
bubble.
What do all these changes in our way of life have in common? They can
be tied in part, though of course not exclusively, to major changes in
the way the global economy operates. Some of these changes have been
documented by authors such as Thomas Friedman and William Greider, both
in terms of a sense of great optimism and great pessimism, respectively.
Yet no one has clearly tied these things together in a way that gets
us past the stage of lamentation and onto the point of what we can do to
respond in a way that will help us to restore our way of life.
The
world is not flat but round--we are
increasingly affected and interconnected from one remote corner to
another--and the positive and negative effects of this transformation
are both multiplying.
This article argues that a golden age is well within our grasp, and
is not a pipe dream. It is a recognition that what is good for us in
many ways now is tied in more and more directly with the welfare of
others.
Dislocations and the Global Economy: Problems and Solutions
Those of us who grew up in the West are at a unique historical
juncture. We have always believed strongly in our institutions and
culture. We are not fools or ideologues, but rather we recognize the
level of success that we have had in managing an open, free society in
which there is both social mobility and a high level of general
prosperity. Our standards of living have been steadily improving for
over 200 years now. Part of that improvement is palpable- in cell phones
and digital cameras, in women and minorities having more success than
ever before, and in the increasing types of employment choices we have.
Other parts of this success are based on factors that are less obvious.
These include increasing improvements in our health care system and
awareness about health risks, such as smoking; a steady stream of
talented and hard-working immigrants, the best and brightest, who have
come from abroad to continually inject new energy into our societies;
educational institutions that are heads and heels above any others in
the world; and a sense of trust and compromise based on a consensus that
our institutions are working and that we can reform them democratically
for whatever changes are needed, such as civil rights legislation.
Why, given this track record, do we now seem to face a wide range of
intractable problems, problems that seem beyond our ability to solve?
Problems including terrorism, global warming, the loss of jobs and whole
industries to overseas competition, volatility in the financial system
and health care threats, and corporations that seem to twist the rules
to work for them, and not for society as a whole. We feel a profound
sense of insecurity because we have not yet recognized the links to the
underlying source of these changes, that is changes in the emerging
global economy. In fact, we can note that both sides of the
globalization debate are correct. While absolute poverty across the
world is declining, much of these gains are concentrated in China and to
a lesser extent, India. This means that absolute poverty is the same or
worse in much of the world, including some parts of the North. Relative
poverty and income levels, reflecting gaps between the haves and
have-nots, is also increasing. These increasing gaps are affecting
communities in both the North and the South. There are at least two
long-term sources of increasing relative inequality that relate directly
to work in the global economy . One is the loss of jobs and reduction of
wages with the increasing liberalization and competitiveness of
developing countries, esp. China. The second is the increasing gap
between those who have skills in demand and those who do not. Our lives
are intimately tied around family and work. Ultimately, our first task
as human beings is survival and prosperity for our families. This means
that economic enterprise is at the heart of our identities and
activities, and the tectonic shifts in this area, which I call
dislocations, are at the heart of our anxiety.
Dislocation #1 Terrorism
The 2005 bombings in London were a reminder of how much the world
changed since the Sept. 11, 2001 bombing of the World Trade Center.
Terrorism is now on the minds of the both the West and Middle East as a
daily obsession. As some observers have pointed out, many of the
terrorists, including Bin Laden himself, come from backgrounds that were
middle-class or better. These observers imply that the "war" on
terrorism has more to do with irreconcilable ideological differences and
extremism than poverty. Bin Laden and others’ goals have to do with
American presence in the Middle East rather than poverty. This
perspective buttresses the US and UK approach so far to use force to
beat back the threat of terrorism. Billions of dollars have been spent,
thousands of lives lost, yet there is no end in sight to the escalating
costs of the war on terrorism. Even more costly is the loss of young
soldiers in their prime in Afghanistan and Iraq. So far, the results of
this war, well-known, have been hardly encouraging. Afghanistan remains
as lawless and factionalized as ever, in fact, it is now re-emerging as
a major centre for narco-trafficking. Iraq appears to be on the verge of
a civil war, with no "exit strategy" in sight. In the best case
scenario, a Sh’ia-dominated government will reach some form of truce
with the Kurds in the North, yet the former, like the Sunnis, have no
love lost for the West. Perhaps more significant for us is the daily
reminder of the paranoia that surrounds us. We can not board a plane or
ride a subway car without being reminded that there are possible enemies
ready to strike us down randomly at will. We are aware, but have been
able to do little, to secure the millions of tones of cargo flowing
across borders, any one of which might contain an explosive device.
Where we have successes against a few cells, others, cut off from any
central chain of command, seem to be proliferating.
Despite the veracity of the experts’ claims about the middle-class
backgrounds of some of the terrorist leaders, this seemingly
counter-intuitive observation is missing the bigger picture behind
terrorism. It is not pure coincidence that peace has come to Ireland at
the same time that Irish economy has taken off. We know that the foot
soldiers in the terrorist bombings often come from deprived origins, and
that the leaders generally experienced strong frustration as middle
class immigrants. It has been pointed out, for example, that the
unemployment rate among the immigrant communities of the London bombers
is estimated in the double digits, well above the national norm. We know
that life for many Palestinians is appallingly insecure and difficult.
We know that many in the Middle East suffer from the repression of
autocratic governments, from the pseudo-democracies of Egypt and Jordan
to the harsh repression of Syria and Saudi Arabia. While many in the
Middle-East are anti-American foreign policy, they are not, as the
terrorists claim, against achieving the benefits of the Western way of
life. In Beirut, Cairo, and Tehran, the youth of those countries push
for democracy and everywhere in the region, follow the consumer trends
of the Western world. They prefer to watch television, get their kids
good educations, and otherwise live a good life rather than living in a
cave in Afghanistan hoping to live through the next day. It is the lack
of opportunity and a strong sense of frustration, in short, that is the
underlying combustible fuel behind latent support for terrorism in the
region, not some ideological promise or the promise of heavenly rewards.
The vision of what the terrorists would do if they won is instructive
in its emptiness. As the Islamic Revolution has been rejected amidst the
hypocrisy of the mullahs in Iran, it could not offer a model for how a
"non-Western" true theocracy would live. Indeed that hypocrisy extends
to the terrorists themselves. These groups rely upon the internet and
films to publicize their struggle and to create fear in the West. They
rely upon the international financial system and drug and oil revenues
(paid for by us) to supply their operations. They purchase their bombs
and guns from our military suppliers. They count on our liberal
atmosphere of tolerance and the immigrant communities in our borders to
allow for new recruiting and organizing. In other words, the world
economy, in its effervescent integration, is quite ironically integral
to terrorism’s success thus far. The unwillingness and inability to deal
with the root causes of terrorism- our current strategy is essentially
the equivalent of us setting a series of blow torches to dry up the
ocean- is reflective of our inability to understand the way that
terrorists rely upon the world economy.
Dislocation #2 Employment Insecurity
For most of us, our sense of rightness is based not upon some
missionary zeal to promote Christianity as many terrorists and some
extremists here would like to think. It is based upon the obvious fact
that we have been successful in creating a good and improving way of
life for our citizens for around 2 centuries now. It is not Christianity
that brings forth immigrants to the West, but the possibility to have a
better life. So, we can not understand the vociferous hatred that others
have towards us. Ultimately, that hatred can be traced to our failed
foreign policies past and present, towards the region, as well as
jealousy at the growing power differentials between the haves and have
nots in the world.
Beneath this international scene of conflict are the seeds of
domestic discontent in the West. In the last 20-30 years, there has been
a steady erosion of labor strength. Hand-in-hand with this has been a
breakdown of employer-employee relationships. Whereas in the 1950s, our
fathers could look forward to the possibility of working for a steady
employer, with strong benefits and merit-based mobility built in,
today’s graduates are facing quite uncertain prospects. As many
skilled-blue collar jobs, which were essential to social mobility
through much of the century have started to move overseas, leaving
hollowed-out towns where there were coal mining, steel, and auto plants
in England, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, West Virginia, and Detroit, among
others, the necessity of a university education seems more important
than ever before. Yet, today, a bachelor’s degree does not mean entry
into a good white collar job. Ask any student what their job plans are,
and there is an increasing vacuum of answers. The brief IT boomlet of
the late 1990s and the subsequent plundering of jobs to outsourcing
offshore means even sure bets, such as engineering and computer science
are now under siege. The twenty-something’s now living at home longer
and longer are essentially living off the capital and wealth accumulated
over the past 3 generations of hard work. Even where we find a good job,
we never know when or if health and pension benefits will pay out,
whether our company will be bought out, or if we will be relocated or
downsized. This breakdown of steady and stable employment possibilities
in the West can also be tied to changes in the world economy.
The loss of strength of labor unions and the more essential breakdown
of mutual interests between the employer and employee in the West can be
tied proximately to Reagan-era reforms, but those reforms reflect
changes on a wider scale. We can look at these changes on both the
demand and supply sides. On the demand side, suppliers of everything
from coffee to computers have to look at global markets. As we discuss
below, the growth of free trade means that there is a freer flow of
goods than ever before in history. This means that a firm, such as
Apple, needs to consider the demand needs of simultaneous markets in
Europe, Japan, and the US, as well as smaller emerging markets. The
revenue streams as well as the product and marketing needs for each
product will have to be considered as parts of a whole, rather than as
separate markets which are part of a conglomerate. The changes to the
supply side of production are more profound still. In most products now
there is a global supply chain, in which components of products are
produced and assembled in a variety of places around the planet. Most of
these operations have multiple possible locations, thus if one area of
supply is cut off, say a factory making semiconductor chips in Thailand,
other production facilities in other areas can easily be changed to
increase output. The mobility of production essentially means that
companies are no longer tied to local labor forces. For a long time, we
thought the exception would be high tech, high value-added complex
processes for which the labor pool was quite limited, however now we see
with Silicon Valley that there are no exceptions.
Dislocation #3 Financial Volatility and Corporate Disasters
Not only do terrorists and narco-traffickers use offshore and Swiss
banks, but most corporations do as well. The deposits in offshore
banking havens such as the Cayman Islands are designed specifically to
help companies to avoid paying taxes. Their existence means that we are
unable to trace financial transactions for security purposes in the
fight against terrorism and drugs. It also means that the billions of
dollars each year in corporate profit, essentially from spending by the
West’s consumers, are unavailable to the community and governments from
which they came. The recent famous cases against Enron et. al, as the
public suspects, are just the tip of the iceberg of corporate and
accounting practices--because of the globalization of trade and finance
it is increasingly difficult to push corporations to act responsibly.
This reality undercuts our long-term financial security, including our
ability to save and invest and to be secure for our retirement. Indeed,
a recent book traces much of the Enron debacle to games played with
offshore bank accounts to reduce the appearance of risk in Enron’s
investments . For those who are getting ready to retire now, the 1998-9
Asian financial crisis, one of a string of international crises as well
as the dot com bust, underscore that financial capital, often in the
form of large pension funds, is increasingly mobile and risky. With the
push of a button, a herd of pension fund withdrawals acted as the straw
that broke the back of the Asian financial system, reducing the fastest
growing region’s ability to push the world economy forward, and to raise
the millions there out of poverty. While small levels of investment
enjoy deposit insurance, the inherent riskiness and volatility of the
financial system reduces savings and makes our lives insecure.
Dislocation #4 Global Diseases
As our way of life in terms of our security, work and savings
possibilities declines, we are reminded of other long-term disasters in
the making. The millions of dollars we have spent on AIDs have not led
to a cure, though treatments are remarkably improved. Yet, we are
continually reminded of the ramifications of the millions of new AIDs
infectees on a regular basis. A few years ago, we were afraid of the
possible spread and mutation of the Ebola virus from Africa, and more
recently by that of mad cow disease and the avian flu (SARS) from Asia.
These warnings signs remind us of previous global epidemics such as
bubonic plague, influenza, polio, tuberculosis (tb), and smallpox that
made life miserable for thousands of years. A few years ago, we thought
through immunization that we would have wiped some of these diseases as
threats out. Yet, through the lack of eradication of the disease
throughout the world, new polio cases have been found, and new strains
of tb are feared. Our sense of vulnerability to a new epidemic comes not
just from a terrorist nefariously planting such problems, but from the
millions of air and cargo shipments that come across our borders every
day. As our grocery stores are filled with everything from Chilean
grapes to Ethiopian coffee, and immigrants continue to come across our
shores, we recognize that our food safety standards, geared towards
local production, can not catch every possible problem. In areas of
heavy concentration of immigration, such as California, basic health and
educational services are overwhelmed from immigration. Yet to cut off
illegal immigrants from emergency rooms means merely escalating the
costs of that injury to society, and possibly, not containing an
infectious disease. To close off our borders (in the ridiculously
infeasible solution proposed by anti-immigration extremists), ignores
that the products from other countries, as well as the flow of
immigrants is now part of our economic way of life. These immigrants are
essential in an era in which Northern populations are graying at an
alarming rate.
Dislocation #5 Global Warming and Other Environmental Disasters
There are other stories in the backburner of our minds that we need to
bring forward. Everyday we are put in fear about global warming, over
fishing, and the extinction of species. We do not need a speculative
film of long-term impending disaster to understand this threat. The air
is hardly breathable now in Shanghai and Mexico City, and what will
happen as the millions of new autos being demanded hit the road? The air
in China and Mexico affects the air that we breath as well as the
temperature of our climate. Whereas a generation ago, we could count on
the possibility of enjoying the wild animals and environment of
different areas, increasingly those possibilities are being
extinguished. Yet, as the debacle around the implementation of the Kyoto
Protocol demonstrates, we seem to be unable to move from recognition of
the problem to action in terms of slowing down the threat to the
environment. Such inactivity hurts not only our overall quality of life,
but also our economic prospects. For example, areas such as Newfoundland
are all too aware of the inability of national authorities to prevent
over-fishing.
A Clear Solution to Global Problems
Given the benefits of global trade, finance, and immigration it is both
self-defeating and impossible to think about reversing such trends. For
those who are virulently anti-globalization, the idea of going back in
developing countries to a period of import substitution, in Eastern bloc
countries to socialist state planning, and in the West to a gold
standard of currency control are patently ludicrous. Yet, we no longer
seem to have the national means of dealing with these international
problems. To be sure, there is justified skepticism about current
international institutions. The WTO, World Bank, and IMF are dominated
by the developed countries and are undemocratic- affecting the lives of
millions who have no representation in their decisions. The UN is
plagued by mismanagement, corruption, nepotism, and ineffectiveness, as
well as a budgetary crisis. While the IMF can dominate developing
countries such as Argentina, most financial flows are between Northern
countries and out of its purview. The management of these artery systems
of financial flows are done on an ad hoc consultation basis, which,
absent a run on US debt, has so far managed to stay afloat. Moreover,
trade negotiations remain stalled--agriculture and intellectual property
rights being two main concerns. The financial system remains
vulnerable--both volatile and with little liquidity available to
Southern states who need it most. The flow of people remains unchecked,
despite massive efforts in the wake of terrorism to crackdown on
borders. Even the decades-old battle against drugs continues to be
futile. With the new wave of corporate scandals and loss of jobs in the
North, it is clear that our current institutions are incapable of
dealing with these global crises. The question we face now is whether we
want a convergence at bottom, due to inadequate or failing global
institutions, or whether we will step up the challenge by creating a new
global system of institutions appropriate to a global economy.
A proposal to create a global institutional system including
regulatory and welfare capacity undoubtedly will create huge
nationalistic reactions. If countries can not agree to give up their
sovereignty to the EU, and the US can not reach agreement with allies
for an enormously costly war in Iraq, how likely is it that they would
invest in a global government? The problem with this knee jerk reaction
is that it ignores the fact that these global problems can not be solved
by nations. Even with the US’s relative if temporary dominance, it is
unable to move past the current system. With the rise of China as the #2
economy in the world, the architecture set up by others will no longer
be acceptable. The question, then, is not whether we need to remake
global institutions, but how. As the world economy transitions from an
old system of US dominance into one in which US, Chinese, and to a
lesser extent, EU power, dominate the globe, there is an opportunity to
remake global institutions to not only reduce the current acute problems
but also to set up a system in which the global economy can prosper and
offer opportunities for improving standards of living for all. The
remaking of such systems does not mean a loss of sovereignty or domestic
preferences, but rather the creation of institutions that are responsive
on the global level to both states and citizens just as domestic ones
are in Northern states. In other words, the extent of a new system of
global government need only be built to deal pro-actively with global
problems, rather than relying on ad hoc and inconsistent efforts by
individual or temporary groups of states.
Though we are in a unique age, there are parallels with previous
periods. My suggestion is that we should look at globalization in the
same way that North Americans saw the problems of industrialization at
the turn of the century. An entire generation of "muckrakers" pointed to
the excesses of the robber barons at the turn of the century. Steady
progress was made through the early part of the century in smoothing out
the exigencies of cushioning and adjustment to markets, culminating in
the New Deal in the 1930s. The efforts of these activists led to women’s
voting; labor protections; anti-trust; worker and child safety statutes;
and to the basic social security protections that balanced out the
volatility of the market and reduced poverty. The stability of these
reforms did not squelch economic growth, on the contrary the post-World
War II era was a booming economic period. During this period, other
important social legislation made a significant difference for
Americans, including civil rights and environmental protections. These
changes further raised the American standard of living. While occurring
in fits and starts, there is no question that global governance of the
economy has steadily increased.
The tired old solutions of calling for coordination, trade
adjustment, or flexibility no longer work in a globalized world. Similar
to trying to close off borders, such solutions are both myopic and
ineffective. There has been no progress on world trade negotiations
because of the huge gaps between North and South. There has been no plan
to avoid another meltdown a la the numerous crises that rocked the world
economy the last 2 decades, from Mexico to Russia to E. Asia to
Argentina. Our welfare systems’ ability to provide health care, our
unions’ ability to preserve basic living standards, and our ability to
provide security through firepower alone, and to preserve basic aspects
of the environment are all breaking down as domestic policies falter in
the face of globalization.
Why It is In Our Interests to Construct a Global Welfare System: A Back
of the Envelope Calculation
Global environmental problems, immigration pressures, downward wage
pressures, insecurity from terrorism and reliance on far flung commodity
suppliers, humanitarian and global disease problems all promise visions
of a series of crises for the coming future that each nation can only
deal with in haphazard fashion. Yet, there is a key pressure point upon
which all of these crises touch, which if addressed could turn the
nightmare towards a paradise. The pressure point is population growth.
Uncontested evidence shows that healthy families where women have the
opportunity to work have less children. This means slower population
growth which reduces pressures on immigration, the creation of new
terrorists, and competition linked to weak labor and environmental
standards. The slash and burn agriculture of the rainforests, the
desperate turn to narco-trafficking or sweatshop conditions to support
oneself would all be diminishing enterprises, if we treated one of the
chief causes rather than symptoms of global problems. Reducing
population pressure is a chicken-and-egg problem. Urbanization reduces
family size, as do access to contraceptives, education, and health care.
Ensuring female access to education and health care are the surest ways
to reduce population growth without controversy over abortions or
contraceptive use. More prosperous families are healthier and provide a
productive contribution, rather than a drain or threat to the global
economy. However, huge populations in developing countries, even at a
reduced pace, make such transformations seem glacially slow and
overwhelming. The fastest growing populations, indeed, are in the
poorest regions, including South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. A global
system is needed to accelerate the change to a low population, high
quality of life economy. Without such attention the average American,
Japanese, European and Canadian will find it impossible to compete with
the thousands of hungry, hard working, and, in Asia, well-educated
growing middle classes, let alone to stop them from finding a way into
our economies.
Such a system would ensure that no one starves, that labor has
reasonable bargaining rights, that a policy that respects the
environment is enforceable, and that basic human rights are afforded to
all. The initial reaction to my proposal would be to avoid such
commitments at all costs as too expensive. The general ineffectiveness
of the pittance of what we call aid is well documented and
incontrovertible given the continuing sorry state of most of humanity.
Indeed, the one major global welfare transfer, namely, the Marshall
Plan, set the world on a growth spree for 2 decades, simultaneously
creating new markets while lifting millions out of poverty.
Unfortunately, there seems little prospect of a massive increase in aid
flows anytime soon. However, such a view would ignore the costs now
spent on terrorism and defense, cracking down on illegal immigrants,
preparing for the transmission of diseases, such as polio (now making a
comeback) from abroad, and environmental degradation. By recognizing
that we are now living in a global economy, we simply move to regulate
that economy in a fashion where it can best thrive. Not only do we
reduce the costs of such problems, but we can create a whole new
generation of consumers. Let us consider some basic "back of the
envelope" costs for creating a system that moves beyond aid towards
basic global welfare:
Spending on Global Fund to Fight
AIDS
Costs of illegal immigration enforcement
Costs of war in Iraq and Afghanistan respectively
Costs of refugee crises
Costs of narcotrafficking
Costs of environmental degradation |
$3 billion and climbing
$28.9 billion and climbing
$252 billion and climbing
$1.35 billion just by the UNHCR
$12.2 billion just by US
incalculable |
| vs. estimates of costs of
reaching UN Millennium Development Goals related to basic
improvements in health, education, gender equality,
environmental improvement, and disease eradication in the
developing world |
| |
28 billion in 2006 |
To be sure, these are very rough estimates, given only to demonstrate
that the costs of providing basic welfare for the planet are far
exceeded by the costs of Not doing so. We do not need to be rocket
scientists to understand that a little investment in prevention and
improvement will avoid disastrously expensive consequences down the
road. For instance, a series of Rand reports note that an investment in
greater educational access to education for illegal immigrants would
benefit the state of California handsomely in terms of a more skilled
workforce that could then contribute more greatly to the state’s
economy, besides reducing pressures on public services . The same would
hold analogously true on the global level. As we can see, it is clearly
illogical for us to continue to pay the costs of the symptoms of global
problems without addressing the costs, which is much cheaper besides all
the humanitarian benefits.
The main problem with the United Nations, and the variety of other
celebrities and non-profit organizations who have echoed this line, is
that they continue to rely upon a system of voluntary charity in order
to fund these commonsense projects. In my 2004 book, I outlined why
development in general is simply ineffective, a few of which bear
highlighting here. For one thing, development reduces world citizens to
charity cases. That means that rather than looking at education or
health as an investment in a future citizen that can then pay taxes and
grow the economy even more, beneficiaries are constructed and treated as
helpless cases for pity. Charity at the international level is closely
tied to national interests, rarely coordinated, and arrives in haphazard
and inconsistent fashion. Development projects and agencies rarely, if
ever, undergo any serious independent evaluation, and there is no system
for learning from projects. The main result of development aid seems to
be to fund middle class bureaucrats who have good intentions but neither
the resources nor the wherewithal to make a real difference on the
ground. There is a basic lack of resources, only a few countries
actually meet their agreed upon target of giving 0.7% of aid. Moreover,
they answer to both donor country politics and host country politics, as
well as the bureaucratic maze of their own organization, constantly
pulled in different directions. By code, they effectively support
corrupt and inefficient regimes in developing countries who are to a
great degree responsible for the development projects to begin with. In
responding only to governments, they have come under fire from ngos
(non-governmental organizations) and citizens who wonder why they should
spend money on organizations that have no direct accountability to them.
Obviously, this system is not working. What is needed is a global system
that parallels the basic protections we enjoy in the North. This system
should have its own revenue base and independent action, as well as
direct accountability to world citizens. Let us briefly discuss how such
a system could be constructed.
How to Set It Up
In this section, I would like to make 2 points. First, I would like
to point out that a global welfare system does not mean giving up local
decisions, or rendering us to the whims of some distant bureaucracy.
There are an infinite variety of systems by which these goals could be
accomplished. The strategic Xs and Os of a few of the possibilities can
be laid out here, with actual numbers showing the feasibility of the
project. The alternative is to continue to see the downward convergence
and increasing segmentation between the haves and have nots in the
global economy, both domestically and globally.
On the Revenue Side
The backbone of this system is a new global taxation framework. The
criteria for a global taxation authority should be that any tax should
be progressive, non-discriminatory, and least distortionary of trade and
investment flows. By creating a global tax system, we would effectively
reduce distortions multiply manifest throughout the system. For a number
of years now, economists like Tobin have been calling for a tax on
international financial transactions to reduce the volatility of
financial flows. Countries such as Chile and Malaysia successfully put
controls on "hot" money to reduce such volatility. This concept could be
extended to a basic tax upon all international transactions, including
trade and finance. If we included were able to incorporate a global tax
for corporations, who sitting offshore, presently pay none, we would
raise billions of dollars with minimal effect.
In the spirit of the Live Aid and Live 8 concerts, we could place a
small tax on rock concerts and other entertainment, such as films and
video rentals in the North to pay for such schemes. If we added a small
% tax on all entertainment, including the billions we spend annually on
sporting events in the developed world, we would have a vast pool of
resources, and an entertainment industry that could make an effective
difference. We could also institute various tax sources that related
problems directly to solutions. For example, we could have a small % tax
on pharmaceutical sales and a series of sin taxes on alcohol and tobacco
to raise money for health concerns. We could put a small tax on gourmet
food items, such as coffee, or on luxury items, to pay for improving
educational access. One of the biggest revenue producers would be to
create a small % tax on arms sales, which could then be used for
peacekeeping and international security operations designed to make the
world safer. We could place a small tax on the energy consumption, to
help pay for environmental protection.
Another basic tax that would be easy to administer would be a
universal tax. A global tax regime would allow us to ensure corporations
pay an appropriate share in taxes, and avoid using offshore banking or
transfer pricing or a myriad of other schemes to avoid taxes. There are
a number of possible ways to administer this type of tax. One way would
be to simply have a global income tax, based on the publicized figures
of worldwide profits. Howard Wachtel suggests that this could be done
proportionate to the % of worldwide sales occurring in each
jurisdiction; he uses the example of Nike, 40% of whose sales occur in
the US . Another alternative would be a universal sales tax, or ust. A
small % would be added onto existing tax collections to help. Both of
these taxes would be progressive in the sense of taxing the larger
markets and richer consumers more, as they spend more and consume the
lion’s share of energy and other resources. As with other sales taxes,
basic needs items such as basic foods and transport and poorer areas
could be made exempt or taxed at a lower rate.
The key thing for this system is that a few small % points added to
each transaction would be almost unnoticeable after the initial outcry.
Such taxes would be progressive by placing more of a burden upon those
who consume more, however they would also be fair and have long-term
vision in the sense that richer consumers in the developing world who
have similar consumption habits would also be contributing. There would
be no need for direct enforcement, as the tax would be simply added onto
the already functional tax systems in the North. This would have the
added benefit of taxing rich elites from the South who place their
assets and often own properties and businesses in the North. The
universal system would also end the beggar-thy-neighbor type of
financial havens and tax jurisdictions that have so aided dictators,
terrorists, and narco-traffickers.
Who Would Determine Expenses
Before answering who and how the taxes raised would be spent to deal
with global problems, we have to cut through one major remaining
obstacle, namely that direct expenditures in a developing setting or
otherwise would mean dealing with corrupt international organization
bureaucracies and host governments. Simply put, the mentality in this
regard needs to change. International organizations such as the UN are
extremely weak because they must constantly cobble together different
powerful nations’ support for their missions, and there is little
scrutiny or evaluation of their results. In this case, a steady revenue
stream would resolve the problem of continual coalition-building and
begging for resources. Secondly, the agency, with assured resources
would act in concert with powerful nations, but essentially would have
independent authority to make decisions. Such decisions would be limited
to where and how much to spend on specific global welfare programs over
any given 5 to 10 year period. Because the mandate of the agency would
be limited to these specific tasks, there would be no concern on the
part of citizens or states of infringement or dictation from a world
government. Many developing country governments are corrupt and
ineffective. They would be given a choice of accepting world welfare as
direct payments to their citizens as a package or not receiving
anything. The world welfare council could thus work with host
governments cooperatively without compromising their mission and direct
duty to every citizen. In international finance, it would mean that
local banks have to conform with a universal set of sound management and
transparency principles, and greater resources would have to be provided
to ensure liquidity and stability in the financial system .
The best and only way to ensure accountability would be to set up
democratic systems, just as we do on the domestic level- taxation with
representation. To ensure that members of this agency were accountable
to world citizens, we would need to discuss some combination of voting
and representation for a deliberating council. Also important would be
to ensure that there is an independent auditing and evaluation arm of
the council. A wide variety of governance systems could be envisioned.
For example, one half of the council could be popularly elected and the
other appointed by the 10 states with the largest contributions. Or
citizens from each country could elect delegates. These delegates could
elect representatives along geographic, development status, or other
lines to ensure representation of the appropriate interests. The council
itself would not have to become a massive bureaucracy. It could receive
competing proposals for bids to complete programs or projects that it
suggests. While this idea may seem hard to swallow for some people,
these initial thoughts, hopefully, will spark greater discussion. Over
200 years ago, there was no such thing as democracy. Over 100 years ago,
slavery was accepted and women had few legal rights. Over 50 years ago,
there was no such thing as development or the WTO. While it may seem
shocking to us in prospect, in hindsight, such adjustments will look
like a continuation of a natural evolution towards a better functioning
system on this small unhappy planet we all share.
References
Brittain-Catlin.
2005. Offshore: The Dark Side of the Global Economy. NY: Farrar,
Straus and Giroux.
Cohen,
Marjorie Griffin. 2006. Collective Economic Rights and International Trade
Agreements In the Vacuum of Post-National Capital Control. In Poverty:
Rights, Social Citizenship and Governance, edited by S. B. a. M. Young.
Vancouver: UBC Press.
McCarthy, Kevin F. and Georges Venez. 1998. Immigration in a Changing
Economy: California's Experience-Questions and Answers. Santa Monica: Rand
Corp.
Mead,
Walter Russell and Sherle R. Schwenninger, ed. 2003. The Bridge to A
Global Middle Class: Development, Trade and International Finance.
Boston: Kluwer.
Nielsen,
Arthur S. Alderson and Francois. 2003. Globalization and the Great U-Turn:
Income Inequality Trends in 16 OECD Countries. In Globalization and
Society: Processes of Differentation Examined, edited by R. B. a. J. G.
Reitz. Westport, CT: Praeger.
Venez,
George and Lee Mizell. 1998. Goal: To Double the Rate of Hispanics Earning a
Bachelor's Degree. Santa Monica: Rand Corp.
Wachtel,
Howard M. 2004. Tax Distortion in the Global Economy. In Global Tensions:
Challenges and Opportunities in the World Economy, edited by L. B. a. S.
Bisnath. NY: Routledge.
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Jonathan M. 2002. Globalization, Terrorist Finance, and Global Conflict:
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Boston: Kluwer.About the Author:
Anil Hira is an associate
professor of political science specializing in international political
economy at Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada V5A 1S6. He is co-author,
with Ron Hira, of Outsourcing America (AMACOM, 2005), and co-author,
with Trevor Parfitt, of Development Projects for a New Millennium (Praeger,
2004).
This paper was sparked by a talk
given by Marjorie Griffin Cohen on "Collective Economic Rights and
International Trade Agreements in the Vacuum of Post-National Capital
Control," published in Poverty: Rights, Social Citizenship and Governance
(UBC Press, 2006). The author also thanks Patrick Clark Coaty for comments.
Another
version of this paper appears in the
May-June 2007 issue of THE
FUTURIST.
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