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News & Previews from the World Future Society
November 2004 (Vol. 5, No.11)


In This Issue:

Politics Could Be Good for Children's Health
Business Shirks Crisis Planning
Reducing Allergies
Saving the Bumblebee
Click of the Month: The Innovate Gateway
News from WFS Partners and the Futures Community


POLITICS COULD BE GOOD FOR CHILDREN'S HEALTH

Families worried about their children's futures should get them engaged in election issues, says a University of Michigan professor.

Young people who are highly aware about social issues may be less likely to engage in risky behaviors such as using drugs or becoming violent, according to research psychologist Marc Zimmerman. They are also more likely to feel better about themselves and to help their communities. Talking to youngsters about important civic issues--and demonstrating civic commitment by voting--is a good way to show them that they have a say in their own futures, he suggests.

"We find that adolescents, especially high school aged kids, are very important because they're soon going to be in that 18- to 24-year range," Zimmerman notes. "And if you don't instill some interest in voting, civic duty, civic pride, and engagement in the world before they get there, you've lost them." Involvement in civic and extracurricular activities also makes children less likely to be depressed and more likely to feel better about themselves and to develop critical thinking skills.

DETAILS: University of Michigan Health System, http://www.med.umich.edu/opm/newspage/2004/hmvoter.htm

BUSINESS SHIRKS CRISIS PLANNING

Americans say they are gravely concerned about future terrorist threats, but businesses are only planning for such potential crises "if and only if they are cost effective," reports crisis-management expert Ian Mitroff.

Crisis preparation was a priority immediately after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and most companies invested in security and crisis preparation. But Mitroff's survey of Fortune 1000 companies reveals that such preparations have plummeted.

"We are back where we started, seemingly not taking the lessons of this tragic event seriously," Mitroff charges. "September 11th may have changed our national psyche, but it has not changed our long-term attitudes toward the importance of crisis management in the day-to-day course of business."

Mitroff lauds the steps that a small percentage of organizations are taking to prepare for potential crises, such as conducting simulations, constructing worst-case scenarios, training cross-functional crisis teams, and implementing systems for picking up early-warning signals of a failure that could induce a crisis.

"Smart organizations practice crisis management equally in good and bad times," Mitroff concludes. "As a result, they experience substantially fewer crises and are substantially more profitable."

SOURCE: Ian Mitroff, http://www.compcrisis.com or http://www.mitroff.net

REDUCING ALLERGIES

The growing numbers of patients with allergies could see relief in the future. A protein has been discovered that shuts down a reaction-signaling molecule, reducing the effects of allergies in mice, the journal NATURE reports.

Allergies are the immune system's overreactions to stimuli such as pollen, dust, insects, and foods. Immune cells, called mast cells, receive signals to release inflammatory agents that result in symptoms such as itchy eyes, rashes, and--in extreme cases--fatality.

Now, researchers at the University College, London, branch of the Ludwig Institute for Cancer Research have discovered that inactivating the signal-sending molecule, called p110delta, substantially reduced allergic responses in mice.

"Our work points toward a promising future for developing inhibitors for allergic conditions, but we are still a long way from developing a drug for human patients," says lead researcher Bart Vanhaesebroeck.

SOURCE: University College, London, http://www.ucl.ac.uk/media/archive/archive-release/?ludwig

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FREDERIK POHL TO SPEAK AT WORLDFUTURE 2005

Science-fiction legend Frederik Pohl, whose latest novel is THE BOY WHO WOULD LIVE FOREVER, will speak at the World Future Society's annual conference in Chicago, July 23-31.

Other noted futurist thinkers who will be sharing their insights at WorldFuture 2005 include FUTURIST editor Edward Cornish, business futurist Edie Weiner, nanotechnology specialist Raj Bawa, and Genetics Policy Institute founder Bernard F. Siegel.

CONFERENCE DETAILS: http://www.wfs.org/2005main.htm
REGISTRATION (save $200 by registering before December 31):  https://www.wfs.org/2005regfrm.htm

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SAVING THE BUMBLEBEES

At least five rare species of bumblebees are threatened by intensive agricultural practices in the United Kingdom, according to biologist Dave Goulson of the University of Southampton.

Wild flowers and hedgerows, the natural habitats of the bees, are disappearing, and small areas such as nature reserves are unable to support the colonies.

Goulson and a team of Ph.D. students are studying rare bee populations in the Hebrides islands, where farming is more traditional and the rare bees are more common. They hope to devise bee-friendly farming practices, such as sowing wildflower strips and restoring hay meadows.

SOURCE: University of Southampton, http://www.soton.ac.uk/Press/PressReleases/Name,4266,en.php

CLICK OF THE MONTH:  THE INNOVATE GATEWAY http://www.innovateonline.info

Applying information technologies to improving education is the goal of the new peer-reviewed e-journal, INNOVATE, edited by longtime education-technology observer James L. Morrison.

The journal is intended to facilitate colleague-to-colleague idea sharing, so the portal allows users to comment on articles and participate in open forums.

Among the articles in the inaugural issue is an interview Morrison conducted with Chris Dede, a pioneer in futures education, who emphasizes the need to better understand the new ways in which students are learning, such as through multi-user virtual environments.

"Read, learn, share," Morrison writes in his welcoming note. "Help us define the future of education."

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NEWS FROM WFS PARTNERS AND THE FUTURES COMMUNITY

blubut.jpg (804 bytes) NANOTECH AT RENSSELAER: A symposium on "Nanotechnology: Innovation, Opportunity, and Commercialization" will be held at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Troy, New York, November 15-16. World Future Society President Timothy Mack is among the speakers at the event, which will include leading experts from the worlds of science, technology, public policy, investment, industry, and academia.
DETAILS: http://www.alumni.rpi.edu/nanotech.html

blubut.jpg (804 bytes) "ACCELERATING CHANGE 2004: Physical Space, Virtual Space, and Interface" (AC2004) conference will be held November 5-7 at Stanford University, Palo Alto, California. There will be more than 42 world-class speakers, including Jaron Lanier of VPL Research, Peter Norvig of Google, "The Sims" creator Will Wright, and mouse inventor Doug Engelbart. Also on the agenda will be interactive demonstrations at Stanford's Human Virtual Interface Lab and a collective intelligence dinner entitled "Futuristically Incorrect."
DETAILS: http://www.accelerating.org/ac2004

blubut.jpg (804 bytes) "PREPARE AND UNITE!" is the theme of Global SchoolNet's CyberFair 2005. This competition encourages students ages 5 to 19 to prepare for the future by thinking about their own future plans, the conditions that will affect the future of their community, and issues of global importance. The students will create Web sites that best illustrate "future thinking." The winners will receive a free trip to the World Future Society's annual conference in Chicago, July 2005.
DETAILS: Global SchoolNet Foundation, http://www.globalschoolnet.org/cf

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FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine. Copyright © 2004, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto:info@wfs.org; Web site http://www.wfs.org.

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Assistant Editor: Clifton Coles
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The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $45 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org

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