logosmall_homepage.gif (6804 bytes)

futlogo.jpg (7769 bytes)
News & Previews from the World Future Society
March 2006 (Vol. 7, No. 3)


In This Issue:

 Predicting Malaria Outbreaks
Robots Improve Surgery
Healthier Neighborhoods
Climate Change and Energy Choices
Click of the Month: Child Trends Databank
News from the Futurist Community

PREDICTING MALARIA OUTBREAKS

Climate data and rainfall projections can assist in predicting malaria outbreaks five months prior to the peak season for the disease.

A model developed by British scientists at the University of Liverpool examines population vulnerability, rainfall, health, and other observed data in the context of projected rainfall. The British team based their study on Botswana, which has a climate that’s conducive to malaria outbreaks.

"The risk of an epidemic in tropical countries such as Botswana increases dramatically shortly after a season of good rainfall--when the heat and humidity allow mosquito populations to thrive," says geography professor Andy Morse. "By using a number of climate models, we were able to compose weather predictions for such countries, which could then be used to calculate the severity of an epidemic months before it occurs."

Malaria kills more than a million people every year and infects 500 million worldwide. The African continent is particularly vulnerable to the illness; 90% of all cases reported in a given year are reported in Africa.

SOURCE: The University of Liverpool, http://www.liv.ac.uk/newsroom/press_releases/2006/02/malaria_forecasting_.htm

ROBOTS IMPROVE SURGERY

Robot-assisted surgery can be more accurate than conventional surgery, according to a team of surgeons at Imperial College London.

The team looked at 27 patients who underwent a partial knee-replacement operation. The patients were separated into two groups, with 14 having conventional surgery and 13 having surgery in which a robot known as Acrobot assisted the surgeon.

The researchers found that the Acrobot-assisted surgeries took longer but that in every case the bones were lined up to within 2 degrees of the planned position. The same level of accuracy occurred in just 40% of the conventional surgeries.

"These robots are designed to hold the surgeon’s hand in the operating theater, not take over the operation," says research team leader Justin Cobb. "We can use this data to develop a new generation of less invasive procedures, providing faster recovery and better outcomes for patients."

SOURCE: Imperial College London, http://www.ic.ac.uk/P7449.htm


************************************
SAVE $150! REGISTER NOW FOR WORLDFUTURE 2006

Futurists will be "running with the wind," "solving the impending jobs crisis," "searching for intelligence," pursuing "anticipatory education," and "creating global strategies for humanity's future" at the World Future Society's 2006 annual meeting July 28-30 in Toronto.

Technology, health, resources, business, security, values, education, and policy making are just a few of the areas that a thousand of your fellow futurists will be exploring as we convene for WorldFuture 2006. To join in this dynamic program--and save $150 on the on-site registration fee--register by February 28.

REGISTER NOW (SAVE $150): https://www.wfs.org/2006regform.htm

LEARN MORE:  http://www.wfs.org/2006main.htm

************************************

HEALTHIER NEIGHBORHOODS

Poor urban and suburban planning can lead not only to unsightly neighborhoods, but also to obesity and respiratory problems, warns the American Planning Association.

Recent studies of King County in Washington state examined a wide variety of impacts that different built environments had on people’s health. The researchers found that people who lived in high "walkability" neighborhoods were generally healthier. Conversely, people who lived in neighborhoods where the layout or location promoted car use over walking or biking were more likely to suffer from obesity and respiratory ailments.

According to the report, a 5% increase in walkability resulted in 32.2% more minutes per week of physically active travel, as well as lower amounts of air pollution.

SOURCE: The American Planning Association, http://www.planning.org/newsreleases/2006/ftp020706.htm

CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENERGY CHOICES

Nuclear power is favored by just over half the British population polled recently about the energy choices to alleviate climate change. But far more people (78%) support use of renewable energy sources and making lifestyle changes to reduce energy consumption (76%).

The nuclear option has shown a gradual lessening of opposition among the British public over the past four years, especially if they believe this choice will contribute to easing climate change, according to surveys conducted by the University of East Anglia and Ipsos MORI. However, few of those polled said they would actively prefer nuclear as an energy source rather than renewables or more-efficient lifestyles and technologies.

SOURCE: University of East Anglia, http://www.comm.uea.ac.uk/press/release.asp?id=591

*********************************************
WFS EDUCATION SECTION: NEWS FROM FUTURE TIMES

The latest edition of FUTURE TIMES, the Society's online networking newsletter, focuses on a new initiative to revitalize the Education Section.

The goals of the initiative are to provide more resources and opportunities for educators to incorporate futures into curricula and to engage educators more in the futures community through partnerships.

According to Society President Tim Mack, volunteers are sought to work on such projects as Futures Clubs for high schools, collegiate chapters, a Young Futurists Program for members in their 20s and 30s, a newsletter, Web site, and other interactive educational services.

DETAILS: FUTURE TIMES, Spring 2006, http://www.wfs.org/futuretimes.htm

*********************************************

CLICK OF THE MONTH: CHILD TRENDS DATABANK
http://www.childtrendsdatabank.org

Child Trends, a nonprofit research organization, has developed a databank for research on more than 100 key indicators of childhood well-being in the United States.

The statistical information comes from a variety of U.S. government reports and Web sites. It includes information on a broad array of child-related topics, such as life expectancy, health, learning problems, access to computers in the home, religiosity, and reading and writing proficiency.

The site offers state, local, and international estimates, original source documents, and plain-language reporting for journalists, policy makers, parents, or curious youth.

NEWS FROM THE FUTURIST COMMUNITY

  • WELL-BEING IN THE INFORMATION SOCIETY: There is still time to submit a paper to this international seminar to be held May 11-12, 2006, in Turku, Finland. "Well-being in the Information Society" is sponsored by the Turku School of Economics and Business Administration, the WHO Collaborating Center for Healthy Cities and Urban Health, and the Baltic Region Healthy Cities Association. Deadline for submitting an abstract is February 28.

DETAILS: http://www.marebalticum.org/wis2006

  • NEW LEADERSHIP FOR IAF: The Institute for Alternative Futures, founded by Clement Bezold in Arlington, Virginia, welcomes Jonathan Peck as its new president. Peck, a leading health futurist, joined IAF in 1982. Bezold becomes the chairman of the IAF board.

DETAILS: http://www.altfutures.com

  • CREATIVITY IN THE WORKPLACE: A conference on nurturing a more innovative workforce will be held March 22-25, 2006, in Austin, Texas. Sponsored by the American Creativity Association, the conference will feature such speakers as Peggy Van Pelt of Walt Disney Imagineering, FUTURIST contributing editor David Pearce Snyder, and Mitchel Stoller, CEO of the Lance Armstrong Foundation.

DETAILS: http://www.amcreativityassoc.org

WB00852_.GIF (317 bytes)

FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine. Copyright © 2006, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto:info@wfs.org; Web site http://www.wfs.org.

Editor: Cindy Wagner 
Assistant Editor: Patrick Tucker

Network Administrator: Jeff Cornish 
Webmaster: Sarah Warner 
Vice President, Membership/Conference Operations:  Susan Echard

To subscribe, send an e-mail message to mailto:majordomo@wfs.org with "subscribe futurist-update" in the BODY of the message.
To unsubscribe or change your e-mail address, send message to Jeff Cornish, mailto:jcornish@wfs.org.


Submit feedback at http://www.wfs.org/fbmar06.htm

The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $49 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org

Back to top