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News & Previews from the World Future Society
March 2005 (Vol. 6, No. 3)


In This Issue:

  See Your Future Self in a Virtual Mirror
  Jobs Boom Foreseen in Solar Industries
  Indo-Australian Tectonic Plate at Risk
  Promoting Arts Appreciation
  Click of the Month: Climate Prediction
  News from the Futures Community

SEE YOUR FUTURE SELF IN A VIRTUAL MIRROR

Want to get a glimpse of what you'll look like in five years? Researchers at Accenture Technology's laboratory in France are developing a digital visualization of what junk food, excess alcohol, and lack of exercise will do to your looks.

To start with, Accenture’s system acts like a sophisticated mirror, capturing your image by wireless camera and displaying it in front of you. Then a computer builds a profile of your lifestyle by using a network of high-resolution cameras and asking you questions about what you are eating and drinking. Once the computer has built a profile of your food, alcohol, and exercise choices, a different software package will extrapolate how your behavior is likely to affect your future weight and appearance.

If you are drinking too much alcohol, for instance, you can expect to see early wrinkles and blotchy skin. This "futuring mirror" may help people visualize long-term outcomes of their behavior, serving as an effective way to motivate change.

Accenture hopes to have the prototype mirror finished in mid-2005.
SOURCE: The New Scientist, http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=mg18524856.200

JOBS BOOM FORESEEN IN SOLAR INDUSTRIES

The job outlook looks bright for solar industries, with some 42,000 new jobs by 2015, according to the Solar Energy Industries Association.

Solar energy could be the best way to ease the looming natural gas crisis and become the economic choice for energy for millions of people in the next decade, the Association told a congressional subcommittee recently.

With natural gas demand and prices skyrocketing, SEIA president Rhone Resch says that solar power could displace 6 trillion cubic feet of natural gas by 2025, saving U.S. consumers approximately $64 billion.

He also predicts that the solar industry could employ 260,000 people by 2030 and generate more than $34 billion in new manufacturing investments over the next 10 years.

SOURCE: Solar Energy Industries Association, http://www.seia.org/news/releases.asp?id=44

INDO-AUSTRALIAN TECTONIC PLATE AT RISK

The geological forces behind the Sumatran quake and tsunami of December 2004 may have even more destruction in store, warns a team of researchers led by Mike Sandiford at the University of Melbourne’s School of Earth Sciences.

"The Indian Ocean quakes are, in effect, leading to the active rupture of the Indo-Australian plate into separate Indian and Australian plates," says Sandiford. "This new research provides us with important information about the stresses that are driving this drawn-out tectonic plate divorce."

The Indo-Australian plate is one of the eight major plates upon which all the continents and oceans lie. These plates "float" on the currents of the earth's upper mantle, whose movements are the driving force behind plate motion and earthquake activity.

Sandiford and his colleagues studied stresses generated along two tectonic segments between the Indo-Australian and Eurasian plate borders. They found that about 90% of the energy released when the plates rub up against each other is dissipated deep within the earth’s mantle; the remaining 10% of the energy thrusts back into the Indo-Australian plate, generating potentially destructive seismic activity that could lead to its breakup.

SOURCE: The University of Melbourne, http://uninews.unimelb.edu.au/articleid_2071.html

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CONFERENCE UPDATE--HURRY TO SAVE $150!

More speakers have been added to the program for the World Future Society's 2005 annual meeting, including former assistant secretary of commerce Kelly H. Carnes, former U.S. Ambassador to NATO Harlan Cleveland, Shaping Tomorrow chairman Michael Jackson, and World Futures Studies Federation chairman Richard A. Slaughter.

"WorldFuture 2005: Foresight, Innovation, and Strategy" will be held July 29-31 in Chicago. Be sure to register before February 28 to save $150 off the on-site fee!

All registrants will receive a complimentary copy of FORESIGHT, INNOVATION, AND STRATEGY, a volume of thought-provoking essays prepared especially for the conference. The volume will also be available for sale after the meeting.

LEARN MORE: http://www.wfs.org/2005main.htm
DOWNLOAD brochure: http://www.wfs.org/WorldFuture2005_January.pdf
REGISTRATION NOW:  https://www.wfs.org/2005regfrm.htm
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PROMOTING ARTS APPRECIATION

Investment in the arts could be viewed as an investment in social capital. A RAND Corporation study finds that appreciation of the arts is the first step toward establishing such skills as learning, empathy, and building stronger social bonds in communities.

The report recommends that federal, state, and local policy be refocused to build demand for the arts by introducing more people to engaging arts experiences, especially when they are young.

"We hope that future policies focus on cultivating the demand for the arts, rather than the supply," says RAND social scientist Kevin McCarthy. "A demand-side approach would build a market for the arts by helping people personally experience its benefits and understand how arts can improve their quality of life."

The report recommends promoting early exposure to the arts through schools and community programs, since early childhood arts experiences stimulate high levels of emotional, mental, and sometimes social engagement.

SOURCE: RAND Corporation, http://www.rand.org/news/press.05/02.15.html

CLICK OF THE MONTH:   CLIMATEPREDICTION.NET
http://climateprediction.net

We may still not be able to do anything about the weather, but people are now collaborating to do a better job of predicting the climate.

Climateprediction.net is an ambitious experiment in international collaboration to create, test, and deploy the best possible models of the global climate to forecast changes for the twenty-first century.

Participants use their own computers to run the models, with each simulation taking perhaps a few days. The results are reported back automatically to climate researchers at Oxford University and collaborating institutions. Through this collaboration, more than 4 million model years have been simulated using 8,000 years of computing time.

The project itself offers a model of global networking and collaboration, as well as a spirit of cooperation for tackling issues affecting our common future, including food production, water resources, energy demand, and much more.

NEWS FROM THE FUTURES COMMUNITY

  • FEDERAL FORECASTERS CONFERENCE: A free conference on the impacts of international trends on governmental forecasts and forecasting will be held April 21 in Washington, D.C. The 2005 Federal Forecasters Conference will focus on how major global forces can be identified and incorporated into projections and plans of importance to public policy. Topics to be covered include foreign trade, consumption trends, global aging, forecasting methodologies, and much more. Registration deadline is March 1.
  • DETAILS: http://www.federalforecasters.org
  • TECHNOLOGY’S EFFECT ON HUMAN INTERACTION: Technology is bringing people together, not driving them apart. "We are just at the beginning of a wave of self-organizing digital communities" which will bring people with common interests together regardless of where they are, says Timothy C. Mack, president of the World Future Society. "Technology can allow creation of digital spaces for shared interests and new digital communities." Mack is a guest columnist at the Web site for the Institute for the Future at Anne Arundel Community College. Read his complete remarks on the future of communication and community at http://www.aacc.edu/future/askfuturetmack.cfm
  • CALL FOR SPEAKERS AND PAPERS: Networking into the Future is the theme of the Fundacion para la Educación Superior Internacional's conference in Veracruz, Mexico, July 21-23. The meeting will address issues that higher education institutions face in the knowledge society and economy. DETAILS: Josue Cortes, president and CEO, FESI, http://www.fesi.org.mx

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FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine. Copyright © 2005, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto:info@wfs.org; Web site http://www.wfs.org.

Editor: Cindy Wagner 
Assistant Editor: Clifton Coles
Network Administrator: Jeff Cornish 
Webmaster: Sarah Warner 
Vice President, Membership/Conference Operations:  Susan Echard

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The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $45 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org

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