News & Previews from the World Future Society
July 2007 (Vol. 8, No. 7)

In This Issue:
 
China Tops in CO2 Emissions
• 
The Virtual Philanthropist
• 
Are Good Decision Makers Born or Made?
• 
Investing in Ecosystems
• 
Click of the Month: For Kids By Kids
 

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CHINA TOPS IN CO2 EMISSIONS

 

The United States is no longer the biggest air polluter in the world. According to the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, China surpassed U.S. carbon-dioxide emissions by 8% in 2006. Other top emitters are the European Union, India, and Russia.

 

The growth of China's manufacturing sector, driven by increasing demand for Chinese goods globally, is one cause of this surge in emissions.

 

In 2005, China became the world's leading producer of another pollutant, sulfur-dioxide, prompting the government to take actions to address its growing pollution problems. The nation's demand for air-pollution control products is expected to increase by 18% a year through 2010, according to The Freedonia Group, an industry market-research firm based in Cleveland, Ohio.

 

SOURCES: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency,

http://www.mnp.nl/en/index.html

 

The Freedonia Group, http://www.freedoniagroup.com


THE VIRTUAL PHILANTHROPIST

 

Can the places where people go to role-play play a role in advancing social causes? MacArthur Foundation President Jonathan Fanton believes so and has announced a $50 million campaign for new initiatives to promote philanthropic activities in Second Life, There.com, and other online communities.

 

The University of Southern California's Annenberg School for Communications has been tapped to lead the exploration of philanthropy in online communities, with activities like virtual-world simulcasts of face-to-face conversations on such issues as migration, human rights, and education.

 

Fund-raising events have already been launched in Second Life, such as a Walk for Hunger event that drew nearly 400 participants. And MacArthur supports several projects with components in virtual worlds, such as a prototype "future of the school" building to give designers feedback.

 

DETAILS: John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation,

http://www.macfound.org
 

LAST CHANCE TO SAVE $50--AND JOIN A THOUSAND FORWARD-THINKERS

 

The World Future Society's 2007 conference is fast approaching! You'll have the opportunity to exchange insights and ideas with a thousand other futurists from around the world.

 

Register now and save $50 off the on-site registration fee! You won't want to miss special events on nanotechnology, governing evolution, digital learning, biotechnology's future applications, solutions to global poverty, and much more.

 

"WorldFuture 2007: Fostering Hope and Vision for the 21st Century" will be held July 29-31 at the Hilton Minneapolis hotel in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

 

LEARN MORE: http://www.wfs.org/2007main.htm

 

REGISTER by June 29 and save $50: https://www.wfs.org/2007regform.htm


ARE GOOD DECISION MAKERS BORN OR MADE?


We all have decision making thrust upon us, but many people seem born to be good decision makers: They stay out of jail and stay in relationships, don't drive while intoxicated, and are generally healthier. This isn't just good luck or good upbringing, according to researchers studying life choices and outcomes.

 

Decision making is a teachable skill that may help people improve their lives, regardless of socioeconomic background or IQ, report Carnegie Mellon decision scientist Wändi Briune de Bruin and colleagues. For example, a good decision maker would be able to make choices independently of how information is presented, such as whether a medication is described as "99% effective" or "1% ineffective."

 

The researchers call for additional studies to determine whether people's life experiences improve after they have received decision-making training.

 

DETAILS: Carnegie Mellon University,

http://www.cmu.edu/news/archive/2007/May/may17_decision.shtml

 

INVESTING IN ECOSYSTEMS

 

An experiment to apply a market approach to environmental protection is under way in Jamestown, Rhode Island, where residents are paying farmers to delay haying their fields until after birds have completed their nesting. The farmers would use the invested funds to develop new products from their hayfields.

 

Worried about the declining population of the grassland-nesting bobolinks in New England, a team of University of Rhode Island economists and biologists worked with EcoAsset Markets Inc. to devise an investment plan to protect the birds' habitats.

 

"Ecological markets are a way to correct environmental problems by enabling businesses and individuals to express their values and invest in the environment," says Stephen Swallow, a professor of environmental economics.

 

In the Jamestown experiment, about 350 residents participated, investing from $5 to $200 each. Three out of the six fields in the experiment were able to raise enough funds to protect the nesting birds.

 

Economic markets could also be developed for other ecosystem services, such as clean water and carbon sequestration, the researchers note.

 

SOURCE: University of Rhode Island,

http://www.uri.edu/news/releases/index.php?id=4061

 

ALSO SEE: EcoAsset Markets Inc. http://www.eamarkets.com/

 

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LEADERS WANTED!

 

The World Future Society is now seeking experienced and motivated leadership volunteers for its funding development and sponsorship sales programs to help expand the Society's services and its global impact.

 

DETAILS:

WFS Volunteer Opportunities, http://www.wfs.org/WFSvolunteer.htm

or contact President Tim Mack, mailto:tmack@wfs.org , or Board member Jack Gottsman, mailto:gottsman@msn.com

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CLICK OF THE MONTH: By Kids For Kids http://www.bkfk.com

 

Not that there's anything wrong with the toys and games that grown-ups invent for kids, but there's something about making up your own stuff to play with that's much more fun.

 

By Kids For Kids encourages young people to imagine, research, plan, and invent their own games and toys, vying for honors in such competitions as the Mattel-sponsored "Invent-a-Toy World Games."

 

Winning toys in the 2007 competition include an indoor campfire, complete with a recorder for capturing your ghost stories and campfire songs; a waterworks building toy with real plumbing; and a game called Xoomball that uses air pumps to puff Ping Pong balls into holes on a game board.

 

Many serious inventors start out very young, BKFK.com points out. Philo Farnsworth was just 14 years old when he came up with the idea for television, and Blaise Pascal invented the calculator at age 18.

 

The site isn't just for kids. It also offers guidance for parents on encouraging their youngsters' creativity, as well as downloadable curricula for teachers.

 

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CALL FOR SUBMISSIONS

 

Attention futurist authors: The following WFS publications are constantly on the lookout for new essays and articles presenting trends, forecasts, and ideas about the future.

 

THE FUTURIST magazine: http://www.wfs.org/writguid.htm

FUTURES RESEARCH QUARTERLY: http://www.wfs.org/frq.htm#invite

FUTURE TIMES (online): http://www.wfs.org/futuretimesmay07.htm

WFS Web Forums (online): http://www.wfs.org/inter.htm

 

The World Future Society's 2008 conference volume will also be seeking submissions. Look for details here soon!

 

 

FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine. Copyright © 2007, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto: info@wfs.org ; Web site http://www.wfs.org .

 

Editor: Cindy Wagner, mailto:cwagner@wfs.org

Associate Editor: Patrick Tucker, mailto:ptucker@wfs.org

Network Administrator: Jeff Cornish, mailto:jcornish@wfs.org

Vice President, Membership/Conference Operations: Susan Echard, mailto: sechard@wfs.org

 

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Submit feedback: http://www.wfs.org/fbjul07.htm

 

The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $49 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org.