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News & Previews from the World Future Society
July 2006 (Vol. 7, No. 7)


In This Issue:

  Social Skills for Robots
  Climate Change May Spare Asia
  Listening for Landslides
  Retirement Community for Gays
  Click of the Month: Multi-Touch Interaction Experiments (videos)
  News from the Futurist Community

SOCIAL SKILLS FOR ROBOTS

Humans have to learn their social skills from scratch, taking in new information and evolving their behaviors accordingly as they mature. Robots, on the other hand, are equipped with ready-to-go programmed skills. This may be a mistake, according to researchers at the Institute of Cognitive Sciences and Technology in Italy.

Rather than embedding robots with preset rules, artificial-intelligence researchers are working to enable robots to learn the skills and rules as they go. To do this, the robots will evolve their own language based on their experiences interacting with their environments, including cooperating with other devices (i.e., social skills).

With the right algorithms and design principles, robotic pets like AIBO will not only learn new tricks without human teachers, but also communicate the tricks to others. Ultimately, different robots will be able to function as systems, cooperating in highly complex and changeable environments with little need for human oversight, says project leader Stefano Nolfi.

SOURCES: Institute for Cognitive Sciences and Technologies, http://www.istc.cnr.it
Cordis, IST Results, http://istresults.cordis.europa.eu/index.cfm

CLIMATE CHANGE MAY SPARE ASIA

Future climate change may be less extreme in East Asia than it will be in countries bordering the North Atlantic, according to a new study led by Britain's Newcastle University.

Warming patterns experienced today, such as polar ice melting, are similar to those occurring on the planet approximately 12,000 years ago, reports the lead researcher, paleontologist Takeshi Nakagawa.

At that time, global warming destabilized the Gulf Stream and caused a massive global cold surge. But not everywhere: East Asia was largely spared--and is likely to be spared once again if that ancient scenario is repeated. One reason is that Asia's monsoon pattern would obstruct the impacts of North Atlantic cooling.

"This doesn’t mean that Asia can sit back, enjoy life, and not take any responsibility for global warming," Nakagawa warns. "We should all be considering on how we can reduce the detrimental impact of human activity on the world as a whole which may be contributing to climate change."

DETAILS: Newcastle University, http://www.ncl.ac.uk/press.office/press.release/content.phtml?ref=1150881771

LISTENING FOR LANDSLIDES

Listening to soil movement down under the surface of slopes could give early warnings of landslides.

The Acoustic Real-Time Monitoring System, developed at Loughborough University in England, uses a sensor inserted into the soil to pick up high-frequency sounds created as soil shifts. A computer measures any changes in the particle movements.

A slope can become unstable in a matter of hours or even minutes, so it's critical to warn people quickly. "A warning five or 10 minutes earlier than is currently possible might be enough to evacuate a block of flats or clear a road--and save lives in the process," says Loughborough's Neil Dixon, senior lecturer in Geotechnical Engineering.

SOURCE: Loughborough University, http://www.lboro.ac.uk/service/publicity/news-releases/2006/73_landslide.html

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LAST CHANCE TO SAVE $50!

June 30 is the deadline to receive a discount on registration for WorldFuture 2006: Creating Global Strategies for Humanity's Future.

The conference, to be held July 28-30 in Toronto, promises to be the most intellectually stimulating and inspiring meeting you will attend this year, a virtual "global village" in microcosm. You'll learn from thought-leaders from all over the world and from all sectors of the global economy.

LEARN MORE about the topics to be addressed and the speakers you'll meet, including inventor Ray Kurzweil, science writer Joel Garreau, journalist and Canadian Consul General to New York Pamela Wallin, and many others: http://www.wfs.org/2006main.htm

REGISTER NOW and save $50 off the on-site registration fee: ************************************

RETIREMENT COMMUNITY FOR GAYS

In what may be the first of its kind, a new retirement community designed specifically for the gay, lesbian, bisexual, transgender (GLBT) population has opened in Santa Fe, New Mexico.

RainbowVision Santa Fe provides the traditional services of retirement communities, such as a range of health and living services to accommodate residents' specific needs, but is marketed specifically to the GLBT population who may feel discriminated against in other retirement communities.

"RainbowVision Santa Fe offers a nondiscriminatory environment in which residents can enjoy all the benefits of community and peer support," says New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson. "Nobody should have to age with a growing sense of loneliness and isolation."

DETAILS: RainbowVision Santa Fe, http://www.rainbowvisionprop.com

CLICK OF THE MONTH: Multi-Touch Interaction Experiments (video) http://mrl.nyu.edu/~jhan/ftirtouch/

At New York University's Media Research Laboratory, computer scientist Jefferson Y. Han and colleagues are developing highly interactive touchscreen workstations. The project's Web site offers video of this technology, which calls to mind the fictional computers portrayed in the film MINORITY REPORT.

While most computer users are accustomed to brushing a finger across a touchpad or poking an onscreen menu to complete a transaction, the Multi-Touch Interaction technology allows users to interact with the program on a much larger scale, using both hands and sweeping gestures. Wall-sized and tabletop displays with the multi-touch interaction could also accommodate multiple users simultaneously.

BONUS CLICKS:

Several more videos that dramatically illustrate the technology's potential applications can be viewed on YouTube, a public video-sharing blog spot: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iVI6xw9Zph8
Jeff Han's Web page: http://mrl.nyu.edu/~jhan/

NEWS FROM THE FUTURIST COMMUNITY

    WFS ART CONTEST WINNER: The World Future Society is pleased to announce that first place in the 2006 Visions of the Future art competition has been awarded to Floor Houben of the Netherlands for her work, KRUISPLEIN, a series of six images illustrating the impacts of planning and design on public space.

    DETAILS: http://www.wfs.org/artcontestwinners.htm

    SOCIAL TECHNOLOGIES EXPANDS: Professional futurists joining Social Technologies' stable of experienced consultants include Andy Hines, a lecturer in futures studies at the University of Houston, as Senior Director of Consulting; Christine Chastain, a product designer and cultural anthropologist, as Director of Primary Research; Steve Millett, former manager of the Battelle Technology Intelligence Program, as Director of Technology Foresight; and Traci Stafford Croft, formerly a consumer insight manager at Ford Motor Co., as a Futurist.

    DETAILS, http://www.socialtechnologies.com

    LEARNING TOMORROW, the World Future Society's online education newsletter, has now posted its second edition, with articles on science-fiction insights, personal scenario planning, and more.

    DETAILS: http://www.wfs.org/educnewsltr2.htm

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FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine.
Copyright © 2006, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto:info@wfs.org; Web site http://www.wfs.org.

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The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $49 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org

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