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News & Previews from the World Future Society
September 2004 (Vol. 5, No. 9)


In This Issue:

Longer Lives--More Hospital Admissions
Carbon Dioxide Altering Ocean Chemistry
Will Europe's Dreams Surpass the American Dream?
Futurists and Policy Studies
Thought Control for Video Games
Click of the Month: Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies


LONGER LIVES--MORE HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS

People are living longer--that's the good news. The bad news is that growing numbers of older persons susceptible to heart failure are contributing to an epidemic of hospital admissions, according to a study by the Mayo Clinic.

Admissions due to heart failure have increased 155% in the past 20 years among Americans over age 65--not because of increased rates of disease but because more people are surviving the disease.

Heart-disease survivors are living longer but may continue to experience symptoms sending them to the hospital.

The study recommends that, as the population ages, new ways to treat the symptoms of heart-disease flare-ups should be pursued that would enable patients to receive care at home rather than in hospitals. The result would be less strain on the health-care system and an improved quality of life for patients.

SOURCE: Mayo Clinic, http://www.mayoclinic.org/news2004-rst/2353.html

CARBON DIOXIDE ALTERING OCEAN CHEMISTRY

The oceans are absorbing much of the carbon dioxide produced by humans, keeping it out of the atmosphere, but the result is a chemically altered habitat for marine life.

"About half of the anthropogenic CO2 taken up over the last 200 years can be found in the upper 10% of the ocean," says oceanographer Christopher Sabine.

The problem is that this storage is altering the surface chemistry of oceans, increasing its acidity and lowering the pH levels. Surface ocean pH could drop lower than it has been for more than 5 million years, according to one study.

As CO2 levels increase, the calcium carbonate found in the shells of marine animals dissolves. While the dissolved calcium carbonate partially neutralizes the CO2, the decreased calcification could affect marine food webs, altering oceanic diversity and productivity.

SOURCE: National Science Foundation,
http://www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/newsroom/pr.cfm?ni=10000000000105

WILL EUROPE'S DREAMS SURPASS THE AMERICAN DREAM?

With the accession of 10 new states to the European Union this year, Europeans have high hopes of matching the might of the U.S. economy.

But living the European dream will be very different from the American goal of independence and individuality; the European dream will be based on different assumptions about happiness, security, and freedom.

"For Europeans, freedom is not found in autonomy but in embeddedness," writes Jeremy Rifkin in his forthcoming book THE EUROPEAN DREAM. "To be free is to have access to a myriad of interdependent relationships with others. The more communities one has access to, the more options and choices one has for living a full and meaningful life. With relationships comes inclusivity and with inclusivity, comes security."

PRE-ORDER THE EUROPEAN DREAM (Tarcher/Penguin. August 19, 2004. 400 pages. cloth): Order now.

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GOING TO WORLDFUTURE 2004?

Online registration closes at 10 a.m. Eastern time Wednesday morning, July 28, but you can still register by phone (toll free 1-800-989-8274) or on site for WorldFuture 2004, the World Future Society's annual meeting, in Washington, D.C., running Saturday, July 31, through Monday, August 2.

Starting Wednesday afternoon, you may register by calling conference director Susan Echard at the Grand Hyatt Washington hotel, 202-582-1234. Or come to the registration desk starting Friday. The hotel is located at 1000 H Street, N.W., at the Metro Center subway stop.

Neighborhood map for the Metro Center subway stop: http://www.stationmasters.com/System_Map/METROCEN/metrocen.html

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FUTURISTS AND POLICY STUDIES

How does future-oriented policy making differ from planning and strategy? What lessons does it offer for government, business, and civil-society leaders?

These and other key issues will be addressed at a special course on Policy-Oriented Futures Studies, to be hosted by Tamkang University in Taiwan August 23-27.

Combining lectures, workshops, debates, and group and individual projects, the course will focus on developing creative approaches to policy planning using future-studies skills and techniques.

The course is offered in partnership with Tamkang University, the World Futures Studies Federation, the University of the Sunshine Coast (Australia), and the World Future Society. The course directors are Kuo-Hua Chen and Sohail Inayatullah; faculty members include Richard Slaughter, Sesh Velamoor, Timothy Mack, and other distinguished international futures scholars and researchers.

DETAILS: Contact Sohail Inayatullah, mailto:s.inayatullah@qut.edu.au 

THOUGHT CONTROL FOR VIDEO GAMES

People with physical disabilities may someday be able to use their minds to control objects.

A recent study of four adults with epilepsy found that the patients were able to quickly learn how to play (and win) a simple video game by using their thoughts to control the computer.

After their brain waves were recorded while they performed simple movements, such as opening and closing their hands or moving their tongues, the patients were instructed to move a cursor on a computer screen by imagining those movements. With the aid of feedback from their recorded brain waves for the movements, the patients were able to learn to control the cursor with their thoughts.

While practical, medical applications of such work may be many years in the future, the researchers are excited by how quickly the study's subjects were able to learn to control their computers with their minds.

"Brain-computer interface research is one of the hottest things going in biomedical engineering today," says researcher Daniel Moran of the Whitaker Foundation.

SOURCE: The Whitaker Foundation, http://www.whitaker.org/news/moran.html

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SHARE THE FUTURE

Readers are encouraged to forward FUTURIST UPDATE in its entirety to all interested colleagues, clients, friends, family, teachers, students, mentors, and mentees.

Reading someone else's copy? To sign up for your own free subscription, send an e-mail to mailto:majordomo@wfs.org with "subscribe futurist-update" in the BODY of the message.

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CLICK OF THE MONTH: COPENHAGEN INSTITUTE FOR FUTURES STUDIES http://www.cifs.dk/en/

"Storytelling has become a widespread feature of life today," writes futurist Johan Peter Paludan on the Web site of the Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies. Learn how the inspiration of dreaming and the art of storytelling are helping to shape the future.

The Copenhagen Institute offers research and analysis services for business and government decision makers. The Web site also offers open access to some of its more intriguing essays, as well as announcements of new member reports and upcoming activities. On the agenda for August and September are meetings on the home as paradise, revolutions in the Middle East, and the trend of "buying your life"--creating your identity through consumption.

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FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine. Copyright © 2004, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto:info@wfs.org; Web site http://www.wfs.org.

Editor: Cindy Wagner 
Assistant Editor: Clifton Coles
Network Administrator: Jeff Cornish 
Webmaster: Sarah Warner 
Membership Director: Susan Echard

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The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $45 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org

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