| [from THE FUTURIST, January-February 2006] Beyond Sprawl: Rethinking Humanity's Habitats
by Patrick Tucker
Six futurists examine the challenges facing tomorrow's human habitat
planners.
How will
technology affect where we live in the future? How will where we live affect our
technology? A simple look around us may give us a clue.
The teeming cities of the United States, Europe, and Asia
provide living testament to humanity's gift for transforming our environment. The
technological innovations of the flying shuttle and the spinning jenny led millions away
from life on quiet country farms to new lives in thriving cities. |

credit: KUO PAO LIAN / PAVLINA ILIEVA
|
Unfortunately, in the United States, Europe,
and even parts of Asia, our great cities are showing signs of age. The American Society of
Civil Engineers has estimated that the cost of bringing U.S. infrastructure up to
acceptable levels will equal $1.6 trillion over the next five years. Events like Hurricane
Katrina and the terrorist attacks in New York and London (and
elsewhere) remind us that our cities are vulnerable to disasters new, old, and as yet
unimagined, in addition to the problems of crime and pollution that have always plagued
urban centers.
The automobile revolution allowed individuals to
seek a life outside of the busy metropolis, in the suburbs. The dream of a little house
and a manicured lawn remains an appealing one to this day, perennially promising a
stress-free life that is close to work but also close to nature. The reality of today's
suburbs is somewhat contrary to that idyllic vision. Millions of people commuting to work
via dangerous freeway systems is neither a particularly stress-free nor an especially
natural way to live. The environmental aspects of unrestrained suburban sprawl in terms of
smog, greenhouse-gas emissions, and even noise pollution are monumental. The economic
benefits, in terms of real GDP growth and high real-estate prices, are increasingly being
offset by rising external costs: Americans waste more than 2 billion gallons of gas idling
in traffic jams each year. The social effects of sprawl are no more desirable.
Suburbanites have long complained of feeling socially uninvolved and isolated. A sense of
real community is inherently lacking in most of today's bedroom suburbs. Is there no other
way?
We may be on the verge of an answer. Our special
urban planning section begins with a piece by Robert McIntyre on reestablishing rural
villages. As part of THE FUTURIST's continued efforts to inspire, encourage, and lead a
dialogue on the future and all its possibilities, we have asked a number of cultural
critics, urban planners, and futurists about the major trends shaping the human habitats
of tomorrow. Their responses, in the essays that follow, are critical, dissonant, and
imaginative. We are especially grateful to our contributors and are extremely proud to
present their findings to you. As you read these pieces by thinkers such as Joel Garreau,
Douglas Rushkoff, Mitchell Gordon, and William J. Mitchell, we hope you will cast a glance
to the side of each page, where excerpts from L. Gene Zellmer's book A Town Primarily
for People form a continuous narrative. Allow yourself to tour Zellmer's prototype as
it constructs itself before your eyes.
We present these ideas solely for the purposes of
furthering a debate on how we might use scienceand common senseto create new
and superior habitats for future generations. The greatest accomplishment of our
technological resourcefulness may be its capacity to liberate us from obsolete
technologies and dysfunctional ways of thinking. Once we make up our minds to live
differently, we may well discover a new way of life that promotes better interaction, that
is truly stress free, and that is, authentically, closer to nature.
About the Author
Patrick Tucker is the assistant editor of THE FUTURIST and the
director of communications for the World Future Society.
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reserved. |