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Top 10 Forecasts From Outlook 2001 Report |
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Current Forecasts
Special to Web visitors, here are a few of the
editors' favorite forecasts from the September-October 2001 issue of The Futurist:
- More people will join the 100+ club. The
United States will have 1.1 million centenarians in 2050, as the first baby boomers begin
reaching their 100th birthdays. More people are heeding the positive attitudes that enable
them to live longer, healthier lives, including being optimistic, being proactive about
dealing with problems, and embracing lifelong learning, writes Michael Brickey, author of Defy
Aging. ("The Extended Life: Four Strategies for Healthy Longevity," page 51
of print edition of the September-October 2001 FUTURIST.)
- Farmers could save wildlife. Agricultural
activities could be transformed into environment- and wildlife-preserving ecoagricultural
work, suggest two environmental groups, Future Harvest and the World Conservation Union.
For instance, farmers could cultivate crops in wetland areas rather than in dry fields,
use natural biocides instead of chemicals, and establish protected reserves near farms,
ranches, and fisheries. (World Trends & Forecasts, Technology)
- Vaccinations will be easier to swallow.
Edible vaccines--plants modified to carry viral proteins that fight a range of
diseases--could help protect more people from HIV, measles, malaria, and other viral
infections. The best prospects for edible vaccines may be rice and lettuce, which could be
mixed in with breast milk as an affordable baby food for people in poor or remote
communities. (World Trends & Forecasts, Technology)
- More doctors specializing in diseases of the
elderly will be needed. In the next 30 years, the number of Americans age 65 or older
will double to 70 million, but the number of certified geriatric doctors is expected to
decline dramatically from fewer than 9,000 today. (World Trends & Forecasts,
Demography)
- Computer power and transmission speeds will
accelerate. The world's fastest computer, IBM's ACSI White, may reach 16 trillion
calculations per second by 2004, making it possible to transmit the entire contents of the
Library of Congress in about two seconds, predicts Graham T.T. Molitor. ("Five Forces
Transforming Communications," page 32 of the print edition.)
- Hearing aids could become fashion accessories.
A necklace embedded with microphones boosts signals sent to a wearer's hearing aid and
helps the user screen out unwanted noises. The necklace could benefit as many as 2 million
people in the United States alone. (Tomorrow in Brief)
To order the print edition of the September-October
2001 issue of THE FUTURIST ($4.95 plus $3 postage and handling) or to become a member of the World
Future Society ($45 per year).
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