News & Previews from the World Future Society
April 2006 (Vol. 7, No. 4)

RE: Trends
You've got a pretty extensive list of Trend Spotting sites at: http://www.wfs.org/futupapr06.htm

You might want to add TrendHunter.com - a compilation of the latest new trends compiled by a global network of more than a thousand trend spotters and cool hunters.
Cheers,
Jeremy Gutsche

RE: NO DOCTOR SHORTAGE?
Having been in practice and watched the demographics change, I believe that the problem is with physician hours worked not numbers of M.D.s The med school composition is now 50% female in many places. This adds a significant and needed dimension to care but the majority of the women graduates will not work the 80-90 hours/week that I did. Most will work 20-30 hours. Many who are in Ob-Gyn will leave due to high liability.

Are you aware of any studies that look at the 30-year trend of physician-hours worked, not of the numbers of physicians or numbers of patients seen per M.D.?
John Rixon
john.rixon@prodigy.net

Editor's note: The Bureau of Labor Statistics may keep such data or have links to sources that track this trend. Visit http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos074.htm

Your comments are welcome:

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