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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future
May-Junel 2004 Vol. 38, No. 3

THE FUTURIST (excerpt), May-June 2004

Cooking Globally, Eating Whenever:
The Future of Dining

A noted food-trend specialist shows what the world's chefs will be dishing up in the coming years. One item on the menu: battling global obesity.
by Art Simering

The World Health Organization (WHO) is credited with coining the term globesity in answer to its own statistics, which show the number of obese adults worldwide jumped from 200 million to 300 million between 1995 and 2000.

  • Adult obesity rates average 30% in the United States, 24% in Mexico, and 22% in Great Britain. The rate is still a mere 11.3% in France, but that figure has risen from 9.6% during the short span since 2000.
  • In Greece, home of the highly touted Mediterranean diet, more than 70% of adults "are above their ideal size," reports the New York Times, which concludes, "The problem of excess (food) consumption has spread to every corner of the globe, except for pockets of Africa."
  • The growth rate of obesity among adolescents worldwide is outpacing that of the middle-aged, many of whom were not overweight in their youth. WHO estimates that more than 17.5 million children around the world under the age of five are overweight even as so many others are starving.
  • According to the U.K. Food Commission, food advertising in industrialized countries accounts for about half of all ads broadcast during children's TV viewing times; 75% of those ads promote high-calorie, low-nutrient foods.



Among the remedies WHO proposes are to stop the worldwide trend toward cheap, mass-market processed foods and to encourage the food industry to voluntarily alter advertising, pricing, labeling, and marketing of junk food on a global scale.

Anyone producing food with even a trace of nutritional value resents being designated as junk, but they had better beware. In July 2003, David Byrne, European Union health commissioner, proposed new regulations that would prevent companies from marketing food as having any health or nutrition benefit if it is also high in salt, sugar, or fat. These new rules, if passed by the European Parliament, would go into effect in 2005.

Regardless of how many court cases are won or dismissed by the courts, food-service chains had better be prepared to bleed some money for the part they play in our own bad eating decisions. The chains are most vulnerable to legal action on several fronts: They play on people's weaknesses through flashy marketing and in-your-face temptations, encouraging eating and drinking things that are bad in terms of quantity, nutritional quality, or both. Furthermore, they fail to intercede when customers choose to harm their health, such as allowing a customer to walk out the door sucking on 44-ounce containers of flavored sugar water—the beverage equivalent of falling to one's knees and gobbling out of a trough.

About the Author
Art Siemering is editor-in-chief of the Internet Food Channel (www.foodchannel.com) and The Food Channel Trendwire, a food-trends newsletter published weekly by Noble World Communications.

Excerpted from THE FUTURIST, May-June 2004. Click to order.)

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