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Vol. 1,  No.  3 

World Future Society       

Learning Tomorrow is an online publication of the World Future Society                                                                         Back Issues
edited by Timothy C. Mack


In This Issue:

 

Reflections on Human Civilization:
Alternative Realities in Robert Sawyer’s Neanderthal Parallax
Tom Lombardo and Jeanne Belisle Lombardo

Anthropologists, bisexuals, atheists, environmentalists, feminists, peaceniks, and promoters of male bonding and birth control will all find in Robert Sawyer’s brilliant trilogy, Neanderthal Parallax, an updated and relevant utopian vision of intelligent life and community on earth, as well as a gripping good yarn where the hero is, contrary to 30,000 years of vilification and underestimation on the part of the dominant species on earth, a highly intelligent, sensitive, and sexy Neanderthal. Sawyer poses an intriguing thought experiment: What if the Neanderthals had flourished and culturally evolved and Homo sapiens had become extinct? To answer this question, he creates an alternative history of life on the planet and a parallel Neanderthal world which present not only a very appealing picture of how human culture could have evolved (imagine no war and true equality of the sexes, for example) but also an unsparing critique of contemporary human society and culture.

Although much of science fiction deals with the future, the Neanderthal Parallax series is science fiction that delves into a different arena of possibilities. This arena is alternative realities, which includes the engaging and interesting topic of alternative histories. What if some significant event or trend in the past had not occurred; how would present reality be different? Alternative histories help us to see our world more clearly and help us to understand the causal significance of key events in history and how they impact the direction of history. One of the most famous alternative reality novels is Philip Dick’s The Man in the High Castle (1962), which is set in a post World War II world in which Germany and Japan won the war. Although The Man in the High Castle turns our contemporary world upside down, it ends up having some very revealing things to say about our modern society, including the nature of military versus economic and cultural victory, and leaves the reader with a sense of enlightenment (or confusion–depending on how you look at it) regarding what indeed is real and what isn’t. We are left asking who really did win World War II.

With Neanderthal Parallax Sawyer has written an extremely fascinating alternative history trilogy that rivals Dick’s masterpiece. The three novels in the series are Hominids (2002), Humans (2003), and Hybrids (2003). The main scientific premise behind these novels is that there may be alternative causal pathways within history (based on the Many-Worlds interpretation in quantum physics), and consequently there may exist alternative realities of the present which co-exist in some type of quantum multi-verse of possibilities. (Of particular relevance to futurists, the corollary of this idea is that there are multiple futures which will unfold, following different pathways into tomorrow.) Given this premise of multiple contemporary realities, Sawyer presents the reader with a technologically advanced Neanderthal civilization in many ways equal to, though clearly different from, our own and one not only with sophisticated justice and governance systems but also rational, workable and, yes, humanistic approaches to the environment, gender relations and population control. Indeed, it is during a botched experiment with a quantum computer at the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory, coincidentally the same site in both worlds, that the main protagonist, Neanderthal scientist Ponter Boddit, is accidentally propelled into our reality. The story unfolds as he and then other members of his species interact with our species both in the Homo sapiens (gliksin) world and the Neanderthal (barast) universe. Needless to say gliksins and barasts alike suffer a considerable degree of culture shock and Sawyer throws no punches in suggesting that the Neanderthals have more reason to be baffled, disgusted and bemused than the Homo sapiens.

Finely crafted, inventive and credible, (Hominids won the Hugo Award for the best science fiction novel of the year and Humans was a finalist in the balloting), the novels move along at a brisk narrative pace and present a variety of highly compelling characters, especially the Neanderthals. And Sawyer is perhaps at his best in depicting a Neanderthal world that is both in sync with our present conceptions about the species and yet displays the kind of sophistication we would expect from an evolutionary path parallel to our own. The Neanderthals may still collectively hunt, slaughter and consume large mammals, as they do at an engagement feast, but they are also capable of designing a highly effective hi-tech crime prevention device, the companion, which is embedded in the forearms of all citizens and which keeps an ongoing record of all their actions through life. The Neanderthals know that if they were to commit a crime, this, like all their actions, would be recorded, transmitted to an archive, and possibly viewed by the legal authorities. The automatic punishment is sterilization, not only of the perpetrator but of any who share half his genes. Hence, they do not commit many crimes. And far from moaning about the violation of their civil rights, the Neanderthals find nothing wrong in having these monitors, since it has eliminated all serious crime.

Perhaps the most intriguing and educational dimension in the novels, though, is how much they say about Homo sapiens and our modern world. Alternative realities make our world more salient or visible through the psychological phenomenon called the "contrast effect." Placing something next to something else which is very different, if not a complete opposite to it, highlights its reality; black next to white makes white look whiter and black look blacker. Contrasting our reality with a totally different reality brings out the unique qualities and features of our world that may go unnoticed since such features are commonplace. In Neanderthal Parallax, the contrast effect is amplified through the psychological reactions of the Neanderthals to the strangeness of our world and the ongoing dialogue and debate that occurs between Ponter and various human characters. Though filled with action, the novels have a strong philosophical flavor as well, and the issues of ethics, God, mortality, love, and war are argued and discussed through the novels. The Neanderthals, in many important respects, are very different from us. They have almost no war or crime (and do not honor warriors); have a much lower world population; are hunter-gatherer rather than agricultural; live in tune with nature (they build their houses within big trees); are universally bisexual (they almost all have mates of each sex); and are all atheists, finding it incomprehensible how we could believe in life after death or a supernatural, all-powerful being who watches over us. Given such cultural and psychological differences, the Neanderthals find our world mad, frenzied, and irrational. Through their eyes we are unbelievably crowded and congested, senselessly abusive and destructive of our environment, abominably cruel toward each other in the name of freedom, and highly superstitious in our belief systems. By the end of even one novel, many a reader wistfully wishes the Neanderthals had prevailed in our own history.

Science fiction stretches the imagination and in Sawyer’s Neanderthal Parallax a plausible high-tech, culturally sophisticated global civilization is created that stimulates the reader into considering how our own world could be different and perhaps much improved if we were to alter some of our basic premises, values, and practices. In the final analysis, this seems to be Sawyer’s central message: Consider the Neanderthal world and ponder what lessons can be learned for our own world and its future.

About the Authors: Jeanne Lombardo has been involved in education for over twenty five years as a teacher, program coordinator, and writer. A life-long student of languages, literature, art, and history, she is a strong advocate for the inclusion of Humanities in visions of the future. Her husband, Tom Lombardo, is the Chair of Psychology and Philosophy and Resident Futurist Faculty at Rio Salado College. His recently published book Contemporary Futurist Thought contains an extensive discussion of the significance of science fiction in futurist thinking. 

Call for papers!

Learning Tomorrow, the World Future Society's online education newsletter, is off to a fine start, but its continued momentum depends on your contributions. Want to share a paper, ask an important question or make a point? Send us an article for Learning Tomorrow! Contact editor Timothy C. Mack.

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FUTURES COURSE PROFILE:
Editor’s Note: This is a new feature for Learning Tomorrow and it will be an ongoing one. I have an extensive file of foresight courses from around the world, but I would also like to learn about new ones I haven’t seen before. Send me info at tmack@wfs.org on courses you have taken, courses you teach or ones you are aware of and I will put them in this section. If as readers you want to know more about any course we feature in Learning Tomorrow, just ask for details.

THINGS TO COME: PERSPECTIVES ON THE FUTURE
Spring 2007
Instructor: Warren Belasco
University of Maryland Baltimore County

"Mankind, a future life must have, to balance life's unequal lot." --Sir Richard Francis Burton (1821-1890)

"The history of culture is the history of its images of the future." Frederick Polak, The Image of the Future (1961)

"For I dipt into the future, far as human eye could see,

Saw the Vision of the world, and all the wonder that would be." Alfred, Lord Tennyson, Locksley Hall (1842)

"It is to the future that people travel in order to rediscover that vibrant sense of life that only epic journeys can foster." Christopher Canto & Odile Faliu, The History of the Future (1993)

"See to foresee; foresee to act." Auguste Comte, French social philosopher, 1798-1857

"If anything is important, it is the future. The past is gone, and the present exists only as a fleeting moment. Everything that we think and do from this moment on can affect only the future. And it is in the future that we shall spend the rest of our lives." Edward Cornish, The Study of the Future (1977)

"You ain't seen nothin' yet." Ronald Reagan (1980)

"Through the act of describing the new age, futurists solve the problems which most trouble them in the present." Betty Barclay Franks, Futurists and the American Dream (1985)

"I have seen the future, and it works." American journalist Lincoln Steffens, after visiting the new Soviet Union, 1919

"Radio has no future. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible. X-rays will prove to be a hoax." Lord Kelvin, English scientist (1824-1907)

"It is a rare forecast that makes any allowance for the essential waywardness of human affairs..." I.F.Clarke, The Pattern of Expectation, 1644-2001 (1979)

"Predicting the future is a hopeless, thankless task, with ridicule to begin with and, all too often, scorn to end with." Isaac Asimov (1920-1992), author of 400 books on the future.

"Trust no Future, howe'er pleasant!
Let the dead Past bury its dead!
Act, act in the living present!
Heart within, and God o'erhead!" Henry Wadsworth Longfellow, A Psalm of Life (1839)

"The future: that period of time in which our affairs prosper, our friends are true, and our happiness is assured. An Optimist: A proponent of the view that black is white. Hope: Desire and expectation rolled into one."Ambrose Bierce, The Devil's Dictionary (1911)

"Some people say that they feel the future is slipping away from them. To me, the future is a big tractor-trailer slamming on its brakes in front of me as I pull into its slip stream. I am about to crash into it." Danny Hillis, computer designer, Wired Scenarios (1995)

"The future is not what it used to be." California restroom graffiti, 1970s.

"The future is the past with more accessories." Karen Keys, AMST major (1997)

Over the past few years we have been treated to a wide range of utopian and apocalyptic hyperbole, as well as a mind-numbing blitz of statistics, extrapolations, and scenarios generated by seemingly sober think tanks, government agencies, and highly-respected "experts." Having survived 2000, it is appropriate to take our own look at the future. Will the new millennium be an age of abundance or scarcity, gee whiz gadgetry or ecological disaster? How do we as ordinary citizens with an equal stake in the future sort out the viable visions from the foolish fantasies? What sort of world will our children and grandchildren be inheriting? What should we be doing now to improve the odds that their world will be better than ours? Nothing less than the American Dreamour traditional but somewhat battered faith in human progressis at stake.

To be sure, we can't know the future. (As the old saying goes, nothing is certain except death and taxes.) But we can learn a lot by looking at what other people have said about the future. At the very least we can try to avoid their mistakes. And by examining a wide variety of scenarios we can attempt to choose the future that we want to work towards today.

Specifically, this course has three main components:

  1. Speculative Fiction and Film: We explore various fantasy visions as expressed in utopian and dystopian novels and films, world's fairs, and Disneyworld.
  2. OOPs!Why Forecasters Go Wrong: We will examine an array of previous predictionsespecially for the year 2000looking for patterns, fallacies, and paradigms.
  3. On to 2057 AD: Having seen where earlier forecasts went right and wrong, we will take a stab at speculating about what the world will look like when we celebrate Belasco's 110th.

In all, this course has several goals. First, it will introduce you to future studiesan exciting academic field with a holistic, interdisciplinary approach much like that of American Studies. Second, it will give you myriad opportunities to improve creative and analytical writing skills. Third, it should be fun.

READINGS

Edward Bellamy, Looking Backward – a classic utopian novel, and perhaps one of the most influential books of the 19th century.
Aldous Huxley, Brave New World – a classic dystopian novel, an ironic nightmare future where (almost) everyone is healthy and happy.
T.C. Boyle, A Friend of the Earth – a master stylist projects a dreary view of 2025, when, because no one listened to Al Gore, the world is a lot warmer.
Bruce Sterling, Tomorrow Now: Envisioning the Next 50 Years – cyberpunk sci fi whiz offers somewhat more comforting views of 2050.
Joseph Corn and Brian Horrigan, Yesterday's Tomorrows: Past Visions of the American Future – beautifully illustrated history of the future.
 

HOW TO WRITE AN ARTICLE
by Jeff Davidson, MBA, CMC

The value of getting an article published is widely known..

Nevertheless, how do you actually write one, especially if it's a challenge for you?

Writing an effective, thought provoking article requires paying close attention to established guidelines plus injecting a healthy dose of individual creativity. This article will cover five basic steps used by many writing professionals, including: prewriting, free writing, preparing the first draft, revising and editing.

Prewriting
This is the stage where an idea or topic is hatched. Your topic may come in a flasha solution you offered a clientor be the result of oscillation between various topics. In any case prewriting requires time. Many writers find the time on plane trips is ideal. If you attempt to jump into a topic without giving it careful thought, you're liable to convey to your readers just thatyou didn't think very much about the topic.

After exploring possible topics, choose an aspect, an angle, a slice that you can manage. Then, ask yourself questions about the topic. What are the key issues? What angle has not been explored? The more questions you can generate, the better. The questions help you to better focus your efforts. During prewriting you will also find it helpful to read and talk about your topic to others. Be a sponge for your topic.

Soon a basic question will emerge: "What is it like?" For example, if you've decided to write about the effects of worldwide competition on domestic business, "What is it like?" could be: "like a high school football player being dropped into the middle of a college bowl game." If a phrase captures the central focus of your topic, use it, explore it, play with it.

Freewriting
Freewriting is fun. What is freewriting? It is plunging in and writing to get your thoughts thus far concerning your basic question on to the page. Many speaker/authors are able to skip freewriting if you are able to formulate a thesisthe single sentence that declares "what you will aim to show in your article as a whole." Generally, freewriting will help you to form your thesis.

By writing rapidly without worrying about organization or content, you can easily generate or capture additional thoughts about your topic and help to establish or refine your thesis statement. A well chosen thesis statement energizes and focuses your entire article, and makes the reader's job easier.

Freewriting also aids you in finding your tone. Will you be witty or serious? Conservative or bold? Accusative or nurturing? Whatever you choose, the tone in your thesis statement and body of the article should match. If you are developing a presentation along with the article, it is usual to keep those two similar in tone as well.

Preparing the First Draft
Yes, there will be more than one draft. First organize or list your points developed during prewriting and freewriting. How will you present them: chronologically or appositionally? Or will you opt for cause and effect order, ascending or descending order, or some other method? The choice is yours and is predicated upon your desired impact on the reader.

Next, make an outline of your points, again keeping the reader's interest, education and possible feelings about the topic in mind. Using the drought example, it's a fair guess that the topic will rouse strong emotions when read by anyone who has experienced one.

Now you are ready to introduce your article with your thesis statement. There are several ways to do this:

  1. Use a brief lead up to your statement,
  2. Employ an anecdote or story that leads to a general thesis,
  3. Cite a particular case as a generalization that leads to a
  4. particular thesis,
  5. Confront a popular assumption or stereotype, or
  6. Oppose a particular position.

For this article, I used a brief lead:

"The value of getting an article published is widely known...

Nevertheless, how do you actually write one, especially if it's a challenge for you or you've never done it before?"

...followed by my thesis statement:

"Writing an effective, thought provoking article requires paying close attention to established guidelines plus injecting a healthy dose of individual creativity."

As you proceed with your article, use the headings from your outline as guideposts. The headings can even serve as paragraph leads. Think a paragraph at a time. This will make your task easier and ensure a smoother flow.

To end your article, either state the implication of your thesis, restate the thesis in terms that broaden its significance, recommend action, answer your initial question (if employed), or reaffirm your thesis with a compelling example. For example, "It's up to each of us to recognize that preservation of the environment is a topic whose time is here and that our active participation is crucial."

Revising
Though you may wish to avoid revising, don't. Revise, revise, revise. You must reexamine "the big picture" and carefully refine, tighten and improve your work. Have you established and maintained a tone? Should you re-assess or reconsider any of your points?

Does your article have unity (all points reinforce your thesis), continuity (flow) and progression (every paragraph offers more information than its predecessor)? Reread the above section on preparing the first draft. Have you accomplished what you set out to? Revision can require as much or more work than writing the first draft. This is not time to shortchange your efforts.

Editing
Every sentence must be vital, focused, balanced and economical. Vary sentence lengths. Check spelling, grammar, and punctuation. Use active verbs. Remember, your readers have work to do; help them all you can. Check each sentence carefullyif useful, read them aloud. Tie all loose ends. Eliminate jargon and unclear words. Trim the fat; if a word or phrase can be eliminated, it probably should be.

After extensive editing, read your article again! Catch any last glitches. Make sure that your final copy adheres to established rules of grammar and style.

Then relax, and send it in.

About the Author: Jeff Davidson is author of the "Complete Guide to Public Speaking" and he recently issued a 3-CD album, "Insider Publishing Secrets" (www.manwithyourplan.com/CDSeries) on how to sell articles, subsidiary rights, and foreign rights of your written materials.

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