The Best Predictions of 2011
Drawing from a variety of sources throughout the past year, the editors of THE FUTURIST take a look at some of the best predictions for the world’s future.
What makes a prediction a good one? Like any announcement that must compete for attention in the public sphere, the predictions that gather the most notice are the strangest or the boldest, or that paint a picture of a future state that challenge expectations.
Today, we still largely cling to this somewhat misguided notion of prediction as a remarkable statement. But the nature of prediction is changing as rapidly as our world. The scope of the predictable universe is expanding, thanks to new tools for acquiring and measuring data. The number of people with a platform to share a prediction — a statement about what will happen to the world — has grown and will continue to grow as rapidly as the Internet.
With that it mind, we present to you our list of the best predictions we read in 2011. They are surprising, often conflicting, and rise from a diverse pool. We evaluated each one in terms of what made it a good prediction, what could get in the way of its coming to pass, and what it all means.
While we tried to nail the experts down to specific dates, many made interesting forecasts that could not be tied down to a specific point “In the Future.”
This collection provides, we believe, a fascinating portrait of our present as we attempt to communicate with our ever-shifting future. —Patrick Tucker, deputy editor, THE FUTURIST
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October 31, 2014 - In one week we have seen two commercial space companies experience disasters. With Orbital Sciences it involved the loss of a rocket and resupply capsule destined for the International Space Station.
October 30, 2014 - IBM is using its Jeopardy-winning technology to help with medical diagnostics. That's a good thing. It is also being used to help businesses make better decisions. Also a good thing.
October 30, 2014 - Tuesday's failure of the Orbital Sciences Antares rocket with the Cygnus resupply module and a Planetary Resources satellite aboard paints a sharp contrast with the achievements at SpaceX, Elon Musk's private rocket company.
October 29, 2014 - We are learning so much about the consequences of mistakes made with deep-water drilling for oil because of the BP 2010 disaster in the Gulf of Mexico.
October 29, 2014 - It occurred to me that I am part of a phenomenon in the 21st century that can only have happened because of the invention of the Internet - freely distributed information to advance knowledge.
October 28, 2014 - The meaning of the German word "energiewende" is energy transition. Of all countries of the Developed World there is no doubt that Germany is transitioning faster to a low carbon economy than any other.
October 27, 2014 - Imagine transmitting energy through the air to power everything in your home. Nikola Tesla, the inventor of alternating electric current, predicted it would happen one day, but it is only now that we are seeing technologies that can do it.