Scenario Analysis in Public Health
This session will have presentations highlighting the use of scenario analysis in the public health realm. The focus will be on demonstrating the use of evidence-based futures planning at several levels of implementation: national, provincial/territorial/state, and community. The presenters will provide examples and outcomes of the use scenario analysis or foresight as applied at different levels of administrative scale. Examples include scenario analysis techniques investigated by the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) to test practicality and usefulness in planning and preparedness for public health issues at a national scale. At the community level, PHAC is providing expertise to empower members of an Inuit community by implementing scenario analysis for practical health applications in the context of adaptations to climate change.
Participants will leave the session with an understanding of:
- How scenario analysis is used in public health planning and preparedness at all levels of scale: individual, community, regional, national.
- How scenario analysis may be integrated with other tools commonly used in public health/epidemiological research.
- How the scenario analysis approach may be adapted to different situations.
Jan Trumble Waddell is the senior advisor to the Chief Public Health Officer in the Public Health Agency of Canada, leads population health and foresight activities on public health issues, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Victoria Edge is an epidemiologist with the Public Health Agency of Canada. She works in population health assessment and scenario analysis related to public health issues, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Sherilee Harper is a PhD candidate and Vanier Canada Graduate Scholar in the Department of Population Medicine at the University of Guelph. Her areas of research interest include indigenous health, epidemiology, and climate change, Guelph, Ontario, Canada
