Michael Lee's blog

Humans are much more dangerous than robots

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Elon Musk was widely reported in the media when he described artificial intelligence (AI) as probably the most serious threat to the survival of the human race (http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/oct/27/elon-musk-artificial-i...).

Will humans win the Intelligence Race?

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How will 21st Century humans cope with the continued acceleration of the role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the economy? Just as humans once outstripped animals in the race to dominate Earth, due to our superior brainpower and use of tools, the danger now exists that homo sapiens will fall behind supersmart machines and AI systems in terms of overall efficiency.

Finding Future X in the Year 2015

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“I think the odds are no better than fifty-fifty that our present civilisation on Earth will survive to the end of the present century.”
Sir Martin Rees, Our Final Hour (2003)

To many, the future is just one big question mark: ?. They ask questions like: What is the future? Where is it? How can we know about it in advance? Isn’t life just random?

Warning: Cybotopia Ahead by 2030

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A cybotopia would be a world in which cyborgs and AI machines and systems dominate and rule over “unenhanced” humans, turning human beings as we know them today into a sub-species, or lower-order being.

A dystopia, transliterated from Greek roots of this word, is a “not good place”. It’s a society which is profoundly dysfunctional by the standards of human civilization.

For the Love of Robots: Three Principles for Social Governance of the Future of AI and the Biotech Industry

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Today, a man’s best friend is a machine, to paraphrase the familiar English idiom. Our dependency on information and intelligence technologies is increasing at a phenomenal rate, pushing up the scale and speed of change.

Why I Became a Neo-Progressionist

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Michael Lee's picture

The other day, I realized that years of systematic study of the future had turned me into what can only be defined as a "neo-progressionist."

Attack on the Future

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Michael Lee's picture

Some political actions and policies are so short-sighted and cause so much long-term damage to the balance of power in the world that they become attacks on the future.

Lady Luck Revisited — A Case Study from Turkmenistan with Implications for Boris Johnson

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It's thought that the word “luck” entered the English language as a gambling term. And now a poker player and air traffic controller called Arif Gasanov, who lives in sunny Ashgabat, in Turkmenistan, believes he’s identified an underlying pattern in the way chance, or luck, actually operates.

Sharpening the Art and Science of Prediction

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What was your best ever prediction? What would rank for you as the world's most successful current and historical forecasts? When did you last exercise and sharpen your gift of foresight?

The Depopulation Time Bomb

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Michael Lee's picture

The future of nations is not written in the stars but in their demographics. In particular, a futurist can study national fertility rates, urbanisation trends and the age structure of population groups to get a picture of a country’s long-term future.

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