October 18, 2013 - If you think fossil fuels are going away because we are all more aware of the threat they represent to our global climate, well then check out this dose of reality.
According to the PIRA Energy Group, slated to be the expert in this field, the United States oil supply from domestic sources will average 12.1 million barrels per day. That is larger than Saudi Arabia by 0.3 million barrels per day, the previous leader. Russia slips to third producing 10.5 million barrels per day.
The definition of oil in this calculation covers all condensates: crude oil, liquid natural gas (LNG) and biofuels. Today the U.S. crude oil production amounts to 7.4 million barrels per day (3 million barrels less than Saudi and Russian production). LNG production amounts to 2.5 million and biofuels, 1.3 million barrels per day. One-third of U.S. crude production today comes from shale oil and this source has been growing on average by 800,000 barrels per day. PIRA sees U.S. production maintaining its number one position until at least 2030 although the rate of growth from shale oil sources is expected to lessen.
Today the U.S. processes approximately 15 million barrels of crude oil per day in domestic refineries. That is twice as much as domestic crude production. If production of shale oil continues to grow at the current rate while demand decreases as automobiles become more fuel efficient it looks like around 2020 when the country will achieve self sufficienvy. Which brings up the issue of the necessity of the Keystone XL pipeline to meet domestic demand. Does it make sense to build a pipeline largely delivering crude oil to Texas refineries if rising domestic supply can meet the future capacity of those facilities? But that is a subject for another time.
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December 12, 2013 - Some food for thought before the arrival of Christmas 2013 and the developing of resolutions for the coming year 2014.
What is in our near future? What I hope and what I think are two different things. As a result I ask and suggest some answers to these three questions:
December 12, 2013 - Yesterday I wrote about Memoir, a smartphone app that creates a living diary of things past and present, organizing what you have seen, where you have been and who you have met without you doin
SYSTEM FAILURE. A simple two-word error message summarizes virtually every major news headline over the past five years. In fact, it is difficult to name a single public institution which we hold in high esteem. Government. Healthcare. Education. Religion. Even libraries are being brought into question regarding their relevance for the future. How did we get here?
December 11, 2013 - Do you keep a diary? I did when I was a lot younger but not today. My daughter continues to keep a diary and goes back to read her entries. In fact on vacations she often brings her diaries as reading material.
How sustainable is cloud computing? That’s a question worth asking following a Cisco engineer’s public forecast that
December 11, 2013 - The world is awash in plastic of which clear polymers represent the dominant material particularly in bottles. The residue of these can take a half millennia to breakdown but not to worry.
December 11, 2013 - In this final installment on Africa's rivers and how climate change may impact the watersheds, biodiversity and human populations that rely on them, we look at Sub-Saharan West Africa including the Niger, Senegal and Volta river basins.
The world around us is changing rapidly, although anyone who has been around a while on this planet recognizes that in one way or another, discontinuous change is the status quo. What really matters is what that change is made of and how much of a role we play in shaping it.