Eric Garland's blog
The Kubler-Ross stages of Greece
I got the graphic below from the punk-rock financial analysts of ZeroHedge, a comparison of the mindset about insolvent Greece to the Kubler-Ross stages of grief in dealing with any death: Denial, Anger, Bargain
When they say you cannot know the future, they are planning it for you
Tonight, I am hosting an event in Downtown Saint Louis (map below) to officially launch my new book, How to Predict the Future...and WIN!!! The chance to speak exclusively about this book this evening is giving me an opportunity to reflect on why I started wr
Ross Dawson: You can only see the future from a global perspective - and the word "futurist" is just fine, by the way
Sure Ross Dawson is a futurist and lives in Sydney, New South Wales - but don't call him an "Australian futurist." In his view, future-focused mindsets had best not get hung up on terms like "domestic" and "international" if they want to see what's coming.
Hating on futurists
There was a great interaction on Twitter this weekend I just happened to overhear regarding the following question:
"What is more pompous, calling yourself a 'guru' or a 'futurist?'"
U.S. Government cutting public analysis of the future of energy
We are going headlong into a new era of increasingly scarce energy resources. The impact on economies will no doubt be dramatic.
25 reasons why foresight is broken - and how we can do better
After more than a year of writing, editing, and design, I am proud to announce the publication of my latest book entitled How to Predict the Future...and WIN!!!
Cold War policy wonks, young Arabs, and how different mindsets create the future
When writing scenarios, you must come to terms with the fact that the people in your scenarios will not think like you. Their assumptions on society, technology, economics and politics will come from a completely different set of data than your own. The only way to understand how the future might go, then, is to put yourself in their shoes. This is not easy, but it is the only way.
The future is growing up
I’d like to underline the most important point from our podcast with World Future Society president Tim Mack yesterday. The study of the future is about fifty years old at this point, a fact that might escape you given the astonishment of major media every time they mention it.
Egypt and Changing Units of Analysis
The political unrest in the Middle East brings up some geeky thoughts about the techniques of strategic analysis. This is not from the “Hey, you should dig megatrends!” book of the future, but direct from the canon of heavy geopolitics and game theory. E.H. Carr‘s realism versus Walt and Mearsheimer’s Neorealism versus Alexander Wendt‘s theory of constructivism.
Real Estate: What's Completely New, and Different From the Eighties
There are certain classic responses you will hear from people when they resist strategic ideas about the future. Let's say that you recognize a threat to your current business and suggest a course of action. One of my all-time favorite reactions you are likely to hear is:
"We tried that once in 1980s...it didn't work! So, you know, it can't work now, either."
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Blogs
Of All Things at CES This Year, It's LEGO That Has Me Pumped
I've been following the coverage of new product announcements and sneak peeks at this year's Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas.
THE FUTURIST Magazine Releases Its Top 10 Forecasts for 2013 and Beyond (With Video)
Each year since 1985, the editors of THE FUTURIST have selected the most thought-provoking ideas and forecasts appearing in the magazine to go into our annual Outlook report. The forecasts are meant as conversation starters, not absolute predictions about the future. We hope that this report--covering developments in business and economics, demography, energy, the environment, health and medicine, resources, society and values, and technology--inspires you to tackle the challenges, and seize the opportunities, of the coming decade. Here are our top ten.
Why the Future Will Almost Certainly Be Better than the Present
Five hundred years ago there was no telephone. No telegraph, for that matter. There was only a postal system that took weeks to deliver a letter. Communication was only possible in any fluent manner between people living in the same neighborhood. And neighborhoods were smaller, too. There were no cars allowing us to travel great distances in the blink of an eye. So the world was a bunch of disjointed groups of individuals who evolved pretty much oblivious to what happened around them.
Headlines at 21st Century Tech for January 11, 2013
Welcome to our second weekly headlines for 2013. This week's stories include:
- A Science Rendezvous to Inspire the Next Generation
- Next Steps for the Mars One Project
- Feeding the Planet Would Be Easier if We Didn't Waste Half of What We Produce
Where is the Future?
Like the road you can see ahead of you as you drive on a journey, I suggest the future is embedded in emerging, continuous space-time. Although you’re not there yet, you can see the road in front of you. In the rear-view mirror stretches the landscape of the past, the world you have been through and still remember.
Transparency 2013: Good and bad news about banking, guns, freedom and all that
“Bank secrecy is essentially eroding before our eyes,” says a recent NPR article. ”I think the combination of the fear factor that has kicked in for not only Americans with money offshore, countries that don’t want to be on the wrong side of this issue and the legislative weight of FATCA means that within three to five years it will be exceptionally difficult for any American to hide money in any financial institution.”
The Internet of Things and Smartphones are Breaking the Internet
I have written several articles on network communications on this blog site as well as on other sites, describing its e