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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future.
March-April  2002, Vol. 36, No. 2


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About This Issue

by Cindy Wagner, Managing Editor

Being Realistic About Utopia

Utopia has a bad reputation. People thinking utopian thoughts are branded as unrealistic dreamers, and people trying to make utopias work are labeled totalitarians (sometimes justifiably). If the study of the future is about building a better world, both for ourselves and for future generations, then futurists must do a better job of conveying what utopian thinking is really about.

As Future Survey editor Michael Marien points out, futurists routinely offer scenarios of "preferred" futures in addition to possible and probable ones when they attempt to envision the future. In fact, a rich vocabulary already exists that describes this crucial endeavor: goal setting, recommending, shaping the future, strategizing, wayfinding, and social-betterment thinking to name a few. One problem with utopias is that they tend to be grandiose--or at least we think of them as such. In fact, a variety of thinkers have offered many useful proposals for social betterment, but would never dream of calling their visions utopian. (See "Utopia Revisited: New Thinking on Social Betterment," page 37.)

Utopian visions also suffer from a reputation of being unrealistic. So utopian (or "social betterment") thinkers need to do a better job of outlining exactly how their ideas can work. A prime example is offered in this issue by Lester Brown in his inspiring vision of the eco-economy: a truly sustainable economy that satisfies the fundamental biological principles upon which our planet operates--reuse and recycle everything. Brown also shows which specific industries will fade, which will flourish, and what new jobs will emerge in this eco-economy--such as aquacultural veterinarians and wind-turbine engineers. (See "The Eco-Economic Revolution: Getting the Market in Sync with Nature," page 23.)

And if a more-accurate vocabulary and more-realistic descriptions of preferred futures aren't enough to rescue utopia, architect Malcolm Wells also offers a gentle portrait of a progressive society that goes underground. (See the Visions essay, "An Underground Utopia," page 33.)


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