News & Previews from the World Future Society
October
2007 (Vol. 8, No. 10)

In This Issue:
• Digital Generation Is Losing Its Heritage
• 
Pollution and Pigs in China
• 
Predicting Success, I: Creativity in Youth
• 
Predicting Success, II: Executive Skills
Click of the Month: italki.com
• 
News from the Futurist Community

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DIGITAL GENERATION IS LOSING ITS HERITAGE

 

The generation of young people who were born into the digital era may be more connected to each other, but less connected to their cultural heritage, warns sociologist Jos de Haan of Erasmus University Rotterdam. They are "chatting" more but reading less; playing more, but researching and learning less than preceding generations.

 

Though adept at finding their way around the virtual world, digital-era youth are not finding their way to institutions that connect them with the cultural riches of their past, according to de Haan.

 

The Internet is perceived as a rival to traditional culture, but it could become an ally: De Haan challenges museums, libraries, archives, and other institutions to do more to connect with the digital generation than merely digitize their collections.

 

SOURCE: Erasmus University Rotterdam,

http://www.eur.nl/english/pressroom/detail/article/2177/

 

POLLUTION AND MEAT CONSUMPTION HABITS IN CHINA

 

Will pigs out-pollute humans in China? That is one worry of a recent report on the impacts of increasing meat consumption.

 

China's annual per capita consumption of meat has been growing by 7% a year and will reach 73 kg by 2020, up from 26.2 kg in 2004. Pork claims the biggest share of meat consumption in China, though declining in the past 20 years from 85% to 65%, according to a report by researcher Yutian Zhao of the Research Center for Rural Economy.

 

As livestock production increases in importance to the Chinese diet and economy, its impacts on the environment will intensify, including unpleasant smells, pollution of canal water, and grassland degradation, says Zhao.

 

Human health is also at risk, due to residues of chemical additives and heavy metals caused by changes in livestock raising methods and use of feeds. The report stems from a 2006 workshop on Chinese food production, organized by the European Action on Global Life Sciences (EAGLES).

 

SOURCE: Livestock Farming, EAGLES (September 2007),

http://www.efb-central.org/eagles/index.htm

 or

http://econsults.org/Eagles/prints/Eagles Health Report - Lifestock-1.pdf

 

UNIVERSITY OF HAWAI'I OFFERS FULL-TIME, TENURE-TRACK APPOINTMENT

 

Teach graduate and undergraduate courses and conduct research in futures studies and public policy in the Department of Political Science, University of Hawai'i at Manoa. Ph.D. required. Applications due by January 10, 2008. Appointment begins August 1, 2008. DETAILS:

http://www.futures.hawaii.edu/2007/09/new-futures-faculty.php

 


 

PREDICTING SUCCESS, I: CREATIVITY IN YOUTH

 

Will your junior genius become a multiple-patent-holding engineer or a megaselling novelist? Vanderbilt University psychologist David Lubinski and colleagues believe they can predict which successful career path a gifted young person may take as early as age 13.

 

A longitudinal study of 2,409 gifted 13-year-olds, now over age 50, examined their relative performances on the math and verbal portions of the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT), and associated these differences with their accomplishments later in life.

 

A key variable in predicting future career expression--toward scientific or artistic breakthroughs--is the "tilt" score, or math SAT score minus verbal SAT score.

 

According to the researchers, "Whereas ability level [sum of math and verbal SAT scores] contributes significantly to creative accomplishments, ability tilt is critical for predicting the specific domain in which they occur (e.g., securing a tenure-track position in the humanities vs. science, technology, engineering, or mathematics; publishing a novel vs. securing a patent)."

 

The ability to predict at such a young age the areas in which students could excel suggests that resources could be redirected to support their development and promote their success, the researchers conclude.

 

SOURCE: Vanderbilt University,

http://www.vanderbilt.edu/News/SAT-GiftedYouth.pdf
 

PREDICTING SUCCESS, II: EXECUTIVE SKILLS

 

Brain-based executive-intelligence testing could potentially help recruiters identify the leadership candidates most likely to succeed, according to a study by Canadian and U.S. psychologists. The result could be a significant boost in an organization's productivity, they report in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.

 

Neuroscientists have long believed that good function in the prefrontal cortex enhances people's ability to plan for the future, manipulate many ideas simultaneously, avoid impulsive action, and react thoughtfully in novel situations--skills described as "executive functions."

 

"In the past, psychologists have used IQ and personality tests to predict managerial and academic performance, with real success," says senior author Jordan Peterson of the University of Toronto. "However, this is the first demonstration of the unique potential of prefrontal or executive function tests to more accurately determine who will and who will not excel."

 

The authors calculate that adding executive-function tests to employee interviews could result in as much as a 33% gain in productivity per hired employee. "Neuroscience has revolutionized our understanding of the brain in recent years," says Peterson. "Perhaps this is the beginning of the neuroscience revolution in management."

 

SOURCE: Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (August 2007),

http://content.apa.org/journals/psp/93/2/298

 

 

 SEE YOUR FUTURE THROUGH NEW EYES
 

Seeing the Future Through New Eyes is the theme of WorldFuture 2008, the Society's next annual conference, to be held July 26-28 in Washington, D.C., with many pre- and post-conference events planned.

 

The meeting will gather forward-thinking men and women from around the world and from many disciplines to examine emerging developments in technology, resources and the environment, community building, health and medicine, and much more.

 

Among the speakers already confirmed are noted bioethicist Arthur Caplan, technology policy expert Kelly H. Carnes, and communitarian scholar and sociologist Amitai Etzioni.

 

LEARN MORE: http://www.wfs.org/2008main.htm

 

REGISTER BY OCTOBER 15 and save $250 off the on-site registration fee:

https://www.wfs.org/2008regform.htm

 

SUBMIT SESSION PROPOSAL BY OCTOBER 31:

http://www.wfs.org/2008propguidelines.htm

 

RESERVE your room at the Hilton Washington! Mention that you're attending the WFS meeting to receive your special rate of $160 per night (single) or $185 per night (double). Call the Hilton at 202-797-5820.

 

CLICK OF THE MONTH: ITALKI

http://www.italki.com

 

When in Rome, speak as the Romans do: italki.com offers a variety of resources for non-native speakers working or traveling in a foreign country, but the site takes a particularly creative approach through "language exchanges."

 

Find a partner on the site who is a native of the country you intend to visit, and start practicing the language before you go. Once you're there, you can also use italki's IM, text, and chat features to get real-time help from your language partner. Language Forums are also available to discuss grammar, cultures, and other topics.

 

(Thanks to Joyce Gioia-Herman, editor of the Herman Trend Alert, for this month's "Click.")


 

NEWS FROM THE FUTURIST COMMUNITY

 

* INTERNATIONAL FUTURES CONFERENCE 2007: The South African Node of the Millennium Project is sponsoring a powerful three-day learning experience November 6-8, at Stellenbosch University's Faculty of Theology in Stellenbosch, South Africa. Topics include the role of scenarios in South Africa's transition and case studies on the use of futuring to meet global challenges. DETAILS:

http://sampnode.co.za/content/view/33/67/

 

* FUTURIST UPDATE editor Cindy Wagner mourns the loss of her father, Robert C. Wagner, who died peacefully in his sleep on September 21. He was 87. Bob Wagner was a member of the World Future Society, first receiving his membership as a gift from his daughter (managing editor of THE FUTURIST), then annually renewing his membership himself.

 

Bob served in the U.S. Navy from 1939 to 1961 and for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and FDA until officially retiring in 2001. In addition to his active duty during World War II, one of his Navy assignments was to assist in setting up nuclear-medicine laboratories for President Eisenhower's Atoms for Peace program in Cairo, Egypt (1955). He received long-term-service commendations from HHS secretaries Louis Sullivan and Donna Shalala.

 

Bob was also a member of the U.S.S. Emmons Association, an organization of surviving World War II shipmates and family members. In addition to his daughter, he is survived by his son Robert M. Wagner, daughter-in-law Wanda, and his grandchildren, Daniel and Rachel, all of Orange Park, Florida, as well as by numerous loving nieces and nephews. His son Thomas L. Wagner (also a WFS staff member) died in 1997.

 

*********************************************

 

CALL FOR SUBMISSIONS

 

Attention futurist authors: The following WFS publications are constantly on the lookout for new essays and articles presenting trends, forecasts, and ideas about the future.

 

THE FUTURIST magazine: http://www.wfs.org/writguid.htm

FUTURES RESEARCH QUARTERLY: http://www.wfs.org/frq.htm#invite

FUTURE TIMES (online): http://www.wfs.org/futuretimesmay07.htm

WFS Web Forums (online): http://www.wfs.org/inter.htm


The World Future Society's 2008 conference volume is also seeking submissions.

See http://www.wfs.org/2008volguidelines.htm

FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST magazine. Copyright © 2007, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail mailto: info@wfs.org ; Web site http://www.wfs.org .

 

Editor: Cindy Wagner, mailto:cwagner@wfs.org

Associate Editor: Patrick Tucker, mailto:ptucker@wfs.org

Network Administrator: Jeff Cornish, mailto:jcornish@wfs.org

Vice President, Membership/Conference Operations: Susan Echard, mailto: sechard@wfs.org

 

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Submit feedback: http://www.wfs.org/fbjul07.htm

 

The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $49 per year, or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org.