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November-December 2007Volume 41, No. 6 A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future. |
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Whither, Western Civilization?
FUTURIST: Needless to say, our civilization faces a number of very real dangers, global warming, resource exhaustion, threats to safety and security. Yet, one could argue that we are also well poised to address these issues. We produce tremendous amounts of information, technologies already exist, and are well known, that could ease our transition to a more sustainable economy. More people than ever before are finding ways to collaborate and solve the major issues of our day like meliorating poverty, advancing education, addressing global health problems. And much evidence exists to suggest that they are meeting with some success. Yet, a sense of despair and looming catastrophe seems to permeate much of our cultural life at the moment. Why does the idea of civilization collapse hold so much allure, particularly right now? LL: I wrote a couple of good pieces about this years ago, one of which was called the "Death of Kings," and the other one was called the "Longing for Armageddon." I'm reminded of the great speech in Richard II, it starts, "Of comfort no man speak. Let us sit upon the ground and tell sad stories of the death of kings." It's a very self-pitying speech. This fascination with civilization decline is an American narcissism. I'm not sure you'll find the same moaning at the bar in the Chinese press or the Indian press, or even the French press. It's not new either. In the twenties and
thirties World War I, had shaken people in New York. The young men in the
evening clubs with slicked-back hair were all very hard on themselves.
They talked about how the times were going from bad to worse; these were men
in the Plaza hotel posing as the "Lost Generation." Bernard De Voto, who
wrote for Harper's magazine in the twenties and thirties, to my mind,
one of the first-rate American writers of the twentieth century, wrote that
he was sickened by this spectacle because he remembered how at the end of
the civil war, the defeated armies, both those of the south and of the
north, left the battlefields in many instances barefoot but then built a
great, industrial colossus. FUTURIST: Thinking of Cullen Murphy's book "Are We Rome?" Do you think drawing a parallel between our own culture and Rome in decline can be helpful? LL: I read Cullen's book. I thought it was fair-minded. Not a lot of 'oh woe is us' and rending of garments and so on. He's very fair-handed in discussing the different approaches to the idea of Rome. It's not the presumptuous, puffed-up Charles Krauthammer kind of argument. And, as I recall, at the end of the book he has a couple of suggestions for how to address the future to try to identify the real problems, to lower one's expectations, to essentially join the human race, and also to know that America has remade itself over the course of the last two-hundred years, and we're likely to do so again. We have that energy which was not there in 2nd century. FUTURIST: What can we do to tap that energy and use it constructively right now? LL: You see the
example of Gates, Buffet, Soros, you see 120 billion dollars a year raised
in charity to build hospitals, do medical research, improve our educational
system, and alleviate the hardships of the poor in various parts of the
world. There's a lot of free-floating idealism in the United States. It
tends to take smaller, local, more specific forms. Nader's point was a very
good one when he was writing in the election in 2000. He said that we can
remake this country if a million people in the United States would spend 100
dollars a year and work 100 hours in some form of public service. That, to
me, seems the simplest, most direct answer to the question of how do we make
our society stronger. Whether your working for the environment, health, or
education, it doesn't matter so much as long as you're working at it. The
great resource of any country is the energy and intelligence of its people.
That's where the investment of money and thought ought to go, and that's why
the war is such a criminal waste. This interview was conducted by Patrick Tucker. COPYRIGHT (C) 2007 World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, U.S.A. Telephone 1-656-8274; fax 301-951-0394; e-mail info@wfs.org; Web site www.wfs.org. All rights reserved. |