Contents for
March-April 2008
Volume 42, No. 2

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Published since 1966
A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future.

About This Issue
By Cynthia G. Wagner,
Managing Editor

Feedback         Executive Summaries          Back Issues
                                  

Tomorrow in Brief
Nanotechnology and 3-D TV
Making Plastic More Recyclable
Carbon Absorption in an Eggshell
The Strategic Value of Giving Up
Divorce's Environmental Impacts

Feedback

Consultants and Services

Navigating the New Adulthood
by Richard A. Settersten Jr.
This isn't you're grandfather's 'old age'! The typical life-course pattern has altered in recent decades, as individuals increasingly choose when to go to school, when to retire, when to raise families, and so on. These choices give individuals more freedom but cause problems for policy makers who, for instance, need to specify a "retirement age" for distributing benefits equitably. Many of the life-course decisions are influenced by socioeconomic class rather than by age, suggesting new mind-sets are needed to improve on antiquated age-based policy making. PDF available.
 

Plus
Retiring Retirement
In an interview, life-cycle expert Maddy Dychtwald says that planning for life past 65 is more important now than ever before.

 

The Future of the Jews and Israel: An Optimistic Vision
by Tsvi Bisk
For a historically oppressed people, the twenty-first century's "flatness" offers opportunities for Jewish individuals to realize their potential without sacrificing their Jewishness. In this optimistic "imagineered" future, an Israeli futurist examines the resilience of Jewish culture, economic success, and the sense of "belonging" to a larger community that unites the many nodes of the global Jewish Diaspora. PDF available.

 

 

Cover Story
THE AI CHASERS
By Patrick Tucker
The arrival of human-level artificial intelligence, should it come to pass, promises to generate tremendous wealth for the companies and inventors that bring it to market. How close are we to a human-level AI? Who's tilling the soil of this brave new world? Anhd, aside from its monetary implications, what will the rise of this advanced AI mean for the future? PDF available.
 

Plus:
The AI Chasers Interviews
MIT roboticist Rodney Brooks,  Adaptive A.I. Inc. founder Peter Voss, Self-Aware Systems founder Steve Omohundro, Powerset CEO Barney Pell, and Google research director Peter Norvig discuss how they see AI developing in the years ahead, when a human-level AI might emerge, and how worried we should be about that whole killer-robot-goes-on-rampage scenario.
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Trends Shaping Tomorrow's World: Forecasts and Implications for Business, Government, and Consumers (Part One)
by Marvin J. Cetron and Owen Davies
This special report (first of two parts) updates the major trends that have been tracked in a four-decade research project by Forecasting International. Trends covered in part 1 include the growth of the economy in the developed world, the redistribution of global population through mass migration, the loss of privacy--and the demand for it, and the continuing growth in demand for oil. The authors summarize the implications of each trend and include commentaries from professional futurists and experts in relevant fields. PDF available.

The Futurist Bookshelf

Why Some Economies Grow and Others Don't

 

Book Review Archive

Environment
Lunar Habitat Gets Antarctic Test

Climate Change Imperils Groundwater Sources

Government
Climate Change and Global Conflicts

Diplomacy on a New Track

Society
Fighting the Urge to Fight the Urge
 

Demography
Fighting Noncommunicable Diseases
 

Technology
High-Tech Service for Hotel Guests
 

Treating Cancer As an Infectious Disease

Economics
U.S. Competitiveness Shows Weakness

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