Futurist_logo_yellow_72dpi.jpg (24529 bytes)




A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future.

January-February 2008, Vol. 42, No. 1


Contents of the Current Issue

Search THE FUTURIST Archives

Back Issues

Reprints/ Permissions

Writer's Guidelines

Send a Letter to the Editor

 

 

Good News, Bad News, and Your News


Any reasonably comprehensive overview of trends will likely have both good news and
bad news, and so it is with Millennium Project director Jerome C. Glenn's synopsis of the latest State of the Future report. The planet has become more crowded, more heated, and in many ways more dangerous, but the digital divide is closing and the world--on average--is better educated and wealthier than ever. (See "The Global Situation and Prospects for the Future," page 41.)

Increased wealth (for those privileged to have it) leads to a problem: what to do with all of your extra money. The luxury consumer goods that once set wealthy people apart--like designer clothes and consumer electronics--are now more available to more people, notes trend watcher Eric Garland. Two trends in luxury consumption are toward more experiential indulgences (vacations in space) and toward consumption that is more environmentally conscious. (See "The Experience Economy: The High Life of Tomorrow," page 20.)

For those focusing on the bad news, there is plenty of it, ranging from environmental threats to economic disasters. But when apocalyptic threats become the sole focus, according to social researcher Richard Eckersley, people may respond in one of three ways: by giving up on the future and embracing a hedonistic nihilism, by adhering to fundamentalist intolerance of those they hold responsible for the coming apocalypse, or by taking action to avert the catastrophes foreseen. (See "Nihilism, Fundamentalism, or Activism: Three Responses to Suspicions of the Apocalypse," page 35.)

An activist mentality is partly shaping changes in the media environment, with consumers increasingly using their own voices and becoming their own force in marketing, notes business futurist Arnold Brown ("The Consumer Is the Medium," page 29).

But this form of amateur activism may produce a backlash, as your fellow consumers demand better information from better authorities than the Internet's many anonymous "critics" grinding their various axes. (See "Fighting the Cult of the Amateur," an interview with Web critic Andrew Keen, page 33.)

--Cynthia G. Wagner
Managing Editor
cwagner@wfs.org

 Order the January-February issue or  join the World Future Society for $49 per year ($20 for students) and receive THE FUTURIST, Futurist Update, and many other benefits.

All contents Copyright © 2007 WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite 450, Bethesda, Maryland 20814. Tel. 301-656-8274. E-mail info@wfs.org. Web site http://www.wfs.org.
All rights reserved.