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A magazine of forecasts, trends, and ideas about the future

March-April 2008 Vol. 42, No. 2


 
 

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About This Issue

What's Going On, What Does It Mean?

It's hard to begin imagining where we're heading without some clue about how we got where we are in the first place. Trends visible now are the threads of change connecting the past and the future.

Many of the "Trends Now Shaping Tomorrow's World" represent major shifts and have been tracked for years by Marvin Cetron, president of Forecasting International Ltd., and his colleague, science researcher and writer Owen Davies.

For example, the general improvement in world prosperity and rapid changes in cultural values are long-term forces that will continue to impact our world for the foreseeable future. Other issues, such as oil production and consumption, are showing important signs of transition, and understanding these changes is critical to the decisions we will be making in the years ahead.

Part one of Cetron and Davies's report focuses on the economy, culture, energy, and the environment; part two, to appear in May-June, will cover technology, workplace and management issues, and institutional trends.

One major technological trend under scrutiny is the pursuit of human-level artificial intelligence. Achieving such an extraordinary breakthrough could mean tremendous wealth for the individuals and companies involved as well as a sometimes terrifying assortment of social and cultural implications. FUTURIST senior editor Patrick Tucker gleans the insights of several AI researchers in his article, "The Future of Artificial Intelligence."

Even the way we go through the various stages of our lives has undergone surprising changes, notes health sciences professor Richard A. Settersten Jr. Once upon a time, we went to school, went to work, got married, retired, and died. Now, many of these life stages have been customized to suit individual aspirations, sometimes leaving people without the social safety nets that protected them when things didn't work out. Settersten argues that the policies governing these social safety nets, such as Social Security, need to be reexamined, as they are often based on how old people are rather than their actual life circumstances. See "Shake-Ups in the Life Course."

—Cynthia G. Wagner

Managing Editor

cwagner@wfs.org

 

 

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