Social
and Cultural Trends
(Updated
on a regular basis. Please check back soon!)
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Evening Keynote
Urbanization and the Future
For the first time in human
history, more than half of humanity lives in some sort
of urban setting. One hundred years ago, only 10% of
Earth population lived in cities. By 2050, experts
predict, 75% to 80% of people will be urban. This
momentous demographic phenomenon is largely happening
without planning and is beyond anyone’s control. Urban
sprawl, overcrowding, pollution, rampant crime,
infrastructure failures and inadequacies—as bad as they
are now—seem almost certain to become almost unbearably
worse.
Must we let rapid urbanization
grow from crisis to catastrophe? Or can we help
illuminate the way to a better future?
This panel will ask attendees for
their ideas and suggestions on how to improve the
prospects for more livable cities and more humane and
helpful living conditions for the great majority of
people living in the cities of tomorrow. The best ideas
will be put together and presented to thought leaders
and policy makers around the world. World Future Society
conference attendees can make a difference. This panel
will be your chance to do so.
Who should attend:
Anyone concerned about today’s urbanization trends and
their potential effects.
What you’ll learn: How the global migration to
urban centers is shaping the future.
How can this new knowledge be applied: This
session will generate new ideas and fresh approaches to
making cities more livable in the future. These ideas
can be used by policy makers, organizations, and
governments to help improve the lives of their people.
Arnold Brown,
chairman, Weiner, Edrich, Brown, Inc.; co-author,
FutureThink: How to Think Clearly in a Time of Change
Mylena Pierremont, president,
Ming Pai Consulting BV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Edie Weiner, president, Weiner, Edrich, Brown,
Inc; co-author, FutureThink: How to Think Clearly in a
Time of Change, New York, New York
(Other speakers to be announced.)
key words:
humanity, demographic society, infrastructure
issue areas: Social and Cultural Tends,
Governance and Communities
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The Young Person’s
Guide to the Future
Who has not wondered what goes through the
minds of young people? Many people ask me what I think of the
future? I find it a hard question to answer. Over 2007 we did
some research into what young people think the future will be
like in 2050. Ten key areas were discussed: the environment,
technology, the economy, society, politics, fashion, youth
culture, education, sport, and health. The results of the study
will be reviewed and how thinking about the future has affected
the way young people act today.
Who should attend: Anyone
interested in working with young people, teachers, young
workers, students
What you'll learn: What young people think about the
future and how this influences their behavior
How can this knowledge be applied: It will help those
attending to communicate with young people through a better
understanding of the hopes and fears of young people
Charlotte Aguilar-Millan, founder,
Ipswhich Time Bandits, is a fourteen-year-old student, Ispswich,
Suffolk, UK
key words: youth, learning, society
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Learning and
Education
Survive or Thrive in a Flat World
Participants will be exposed to a
variety of media that explains how we can thrive and not
merely survive in a global economy. A major component of
this presentation will be based on Survive or Thrive:
Education in a Flat World. Participants will experience
an interactive tool, a FLAT PACK card game. This game
addresses the similarities and the differences between the
U.S. and other countries in such areas as language,
workforce, the environment, energy, poverty, pollution, and
others. The players will also role play to better understand
the perspective of others. This presentation provides a
method of initiating important discussions on the impact of
technology and globalization on education, community and
economy.
Who should attend:
Educators, community leaders, business
leaders.
What you'll learn:
Attendees will learn thought provoking facts
about the global economy and how to survive in it. It is time to
think globally and act locally to make positive changes in
classrooms, schools and communities.
How can this knowledge be applied:
By seeing the effects of what has
happened thus far to America and its workforce, we can better
prepare our communities and students for the future.
Participants will also be able to use the strategies and
materials presented to inform colleagues, local groups, and
students of the importance of surviving or thriving in a global
economy. This may have impact in the development of programs and
curriculum in schools to better prepare our students and
community leaders for the future.
Harry Eastridge,
superintendent, Educational Service Center of Cuyahoga County,
Valley View, Ohio
Wayne Gibson,
director, Educational Service Center of Cuyahoga County, Valley
View, Ohio
key words:
education, economy, community
issue areas: Social and Cultural
Trends, Learning and Education, Business and Careers
The Globalization
of Crime
Increasingly, organized criminals are
adopting the architecture of globalization to further their
ends. Organized crime is able to use the transportation and
financial networks--created by the process of
globalization--to extend its scope. This session looks at
some of the aspects of the globalization of crime and how it
will develop in the near future with particular reference to
the architecture of globalization gangs, narcotics and money
laundering white collar crime, and modern slave trade.
Who should attend:
Those who have an interest in globalization,
crimes, and the developing forms of international cooperation.
What you'll learn:
How the process of globalization has created
opportunities for organized crime and how these opportunities
can be reduced in the years to come.
How can this knowledge be applied:
The session will create an awareness of the use of the
architecture of globalization and how it is being used for
illicit purposes.
Stephen Aguilar-Millan,
director of research, European Futures Observatory, Ipswich,
Suffolk, UK
John Jackson,
sergeant, Houston Police Department, Houston, Texas
Joan Foltz,
socio-economic analyst, Alsek Research, Chandler, Arizona
Amy Oberg,
futurist, Kimberly-Clark Corporation, Appleton, Wisconsin
key words:
globalization, crime, narcotics
issue areas:
Social and Cultural Trends; Governance and
Communities
The Future of Men
What is the future of manhood? Is
society changing while men cling to outdated roles and
obsolete stereotypes of masculinity? Is a new definition of
“maleness” being crafted? Or is there just confusion over
what “being a man” actually means? In this session, the
speakers will deliver insights on research and trends
shaping the future of men and offer potential future
scenarios. The attendees will be invited to contribute to
those scenarios, adding their ideas and visions about the
future of men.
Who should attend: Futurists,
sociologists, marketers, business operators, managers, men and
women.
What you'll learn: Participants will learn trends related
to changes in men’s roles and responsibilities; insights
regarding changing perceptions of male contributions to society,
work, family; potential futures of men.
How can this new knowledge be applied: In
business, marketing, organizational design/operations, staffing,
rewards systems, and roles, organizations can use this
information for personnel issues. In your personal life, it will
help with roles and responsibilities.
Joe Bourland, director of category
management, North America, Kimberly Clark Corporation, Neenah,
Wisconsin
Amy J. Oberg, corporate futurist, Kimberly Clark
Corporate, Neenah, Wisconsin
key words: gender, sociology
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Business and
Careers
Your Family:
Stakeholders in Your Future
How personal and other stakeholder relationships change
over time and how some of those changes can be anticipated will be the focus of
this session. Worksheets will be provided for use during the session and
attendees will be provided access to an Excel download of an interactive
worksheet.
Each person in your life, whether parent, spouse, child,
friend or employer, will be in a different stage of life within ten years. That
change in life stages will bring about changes in your relationships. The
teenage child that confronts you today will, in ten years, probably be in a
career, a marriage and may be raising your grandchildren. In your career, and
important ally or opponent may retire. A little foresight will help you prepare
for these changes.
Who should attend:
Individuals interested in exploring their own futures or learning about
long-term thinking.
What you’ll learn: Participants will learn how to use a
worksheet/spreadsheet as a tool to explore change over time in personal
relationships.
How can this new knowledge be applied: Attendees can apply this knowledge
to their personal and family relationships and how they are affected by change.
Jim Mathews, futurtist consultant, The Futures
Network, Chicago, Illinois
Verne Wheelwright, founder, Personal Future Network author, The
Personal Futures Workbook, Harlingen, Texas
key words: Personal futures
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends
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Special Event
The Aging
Tsunami: Adapting to Life on Higher Ground
America is on the cusp of a
demographic transformation that will usher in
fundamental and lasting changes to the social contract.
These changes will have large implications for labor and
capital markets as well as household expectations with
respect to retirement and health provision. At risk will
be the "American dream" that every new generation will
grow up enjoying greater prosperity than its
predecessors.
During the years of 1990-2006,
U.S.
population grew by an average of 5.8 people in the
traditional working ages for every additional senior
citizen. Soon this trend will reverse. We will add 1.7
new seniors for every new potential worker in the 2010s
and 8.4 seniors for every new worker in the 2020s. If
health costs continue rising as projected, honoring
benefit promises to baby boomers could send the living
standards of working households spiraling downward by
2025. How the U.S. copes with this challenge will have
ramifications far beyond its borders.
Who should attend:
Economists, financial analysts, social policy advocates,
health providers, retirement planners, everyone
interested in a sound and secure retirement.
What you’ll learn: Attendees will gain insight to
the domestic and global dimensions of the aging
challenge, the proposed remedies and their likely
tradeoffs at the household level, and the broader
implications of these policy choices for capital, labor
and product markets.
How can this new knowledge be
applied: Planning at every level—from the household
to the largest business—should make provision for the
large scale rebalancing these trends imply.
Paul Hewitt,
executive director, Americans for Generational Equity,
Washington, D.C.
key words:
demographics, health care, retirement, strategic
planning
issue areas: Social and Cultural
Trends, Governance and Communities, Health and Wellness
Futures
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Screening ‘Futuropolis":
The Urban Future in Contemporary American Cinema
We will identify
and analyze the "scenes of consequence" representing the future
of our cities and urban societies as constructed in the popular
films of the last decade.. We will explore a number of important
themes addressed in these cinematic visions of the future,
including: urban geography, architecture and design, public
space, urban demography, and urban society and culture. An
analysis of the latent values and inherent critiques of the
modern urban system is presented, as well as a discussion of how
these important cultural artifacts may play a role in the
professional activities of urban planners, designers,
sociologists, and policy makers in the future.
Who should attend:
This session is designed for urban-oriented futurists.
What you’ll learn: This session is designed to provide
attendees with a comprehensive understanding of how geographic,
architectural, social, and cultural aspects of the urban future
are constructed in contemporary American cinema. These visions
of the urban future reflect and shape popular perceptions,
misperceptions, and values regarding the contemporary and future
urban system.
How can this new knowledge be applied: The information
provided in this session may provide urban professionals with a
foundation for informed public discourse, urban planning, and
public policy regarding the city and urban life.
William J. Fasano,
Jr., town manager, Laurel,
Maryland
key words:
media, cinema, urban futures, demography, geography, culture
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Governance and
Communities, Learning and Education
The Impact of the War on
Terror on Local Law Enforcement
Without question,
the War on Terror has had a direct impact on most, if not all,
of U.S. federal law enforcement agencies. But the negative
impact on local law enforcement has been largely ignored.
This panel will
present a discussion of the changing role of local law
enforcement agencies due to the War on Terror. The issues will
include increased law enforcement activities assumed in part or
totally by local law enforcement agencies, the reduction of
services provided by federal law enforcement agencies, and
reduced ability of local agencies to respond to those they
serve, as well as paths forward for the next decade.
Who should attend:
Those who are interested in local governance, particularly the
tension between forces for stability and forces for change.
What you’ll learn: Participants will learn about how
counterterrorism and crime fighting are both synergistic and
antagonistic and how they play out in day-to-day policing.
How can this new knowledge be applied: This knowledge can
be applied by citizens and local employees and officials as they
consider how their own communities are changing because of the
War on Terror.
Bud Levin,
department head, psychology, Blue Ridge Community College,
Fisherville, Virginia
John Jarvis, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Quantico,
Virginia
Carl J. Jensen, III, professor, department of legal
studies, University of
Mississippi, University, Mississippi
key words:
war on terror, local law enforcement
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Governance and
Communities
Organized Crime Threat
Assessment Project & Law Enforcement Forecasting
Panelists will
present the methods and results of the second Dutch National
Threat Assessment on Organized Crime, a five-year forecast,
which is expected finish before June 2008. The final report will
be based on more than 40 thematic and regional analytical
reports. Copies of the translated version of a contributing
study to the National Threat Assessment-- providing an overview
of developments and trends deemed to be influential in regard to
organized crime--will be available. Implications for the United
States and other countries will be discussed. Panelists will
also offer results of two parallel international conferences
(one Academic and one for Practitioners) held in June 2008 on
the theme of forecasting in law enforcement.
Who should attend:
Analysts, researchers, educators and anyone interested in the
future of organized crime internationally.
What you’ll learn: Participants will learn how a major
project spanning two years, with dozens of analysts and
researchers, can bring together the latest insights from recent
and current investigations, criminal intelligence, open sources,
and professional literature on organized crime to draw up an
empirically-based forecast of expected developments, combined
with an estimate of the likelihood, extent and consequences of
OC phenomena that are expected to occur.
How can this new knowledge be applied: Law enforcement
practitioners can use results of the study to plan for
implications in their jurisdictions; academics can utilize
implications in developing course curriculums
Peter Klerks,
criminologist, political scientist, lecturer and author,
Amsterdam, Netherlands
William Tafoya, retired, special agent of the Federal
Bureau of Investigation, professor, national security program,
University of New Haven, New Haven, Connecticut
Armando Stavole, retired colonel, Italian Air Force,
Rome, Italy
key words:
organized crime, threat assessment,
futures forecasting, law enforcement
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Learning and
Education, Futures Methodologies
What is the Future
for the World’s Orphans?
There is no research indicating that
institutionalization of children has long-term negative effects.
Over a hundred million orphans throughout the world are denied
care because of lack of foster or adoptive parents. These
orphans constitute a future danger of widespread proportion to
their countries, their societies, and the world.
Who should attend:
Persons interested in children, institutions, families, and
social policy.
What you’ll learn: Why the current widespread emphasis on
a family-like setting cannot succeed.
How can this new knowledge be applied: Some childcare
organizations are changing their emphasis due to the
information.
David Macarov,
professor emeritus, Hebrew University School of Social Work;
author, Jerusalem, Israel
key words:
children, families, orphans, institutions
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Values and
Spirituality, Learning and Education
The Quest for Social
Intelligence: Classical Inspiration for the Second Enlightenment
Period
The transforming times of the twenty-first
century, it is argued, require the cultivation of social and
intellectual processes that parallel in intensity and
significance the ones in the classical Enlightenment period or
the Age of Reason of the 1700s. The most critical historical
similarities include the dawning of a new socio-cultural order
and a new reasoning approach to human endeavors. The classical
Enlightenment witnessed a movement in the direction of modernism
and positivistic scientific thinking. During that era, the
French philosopher Auguste Comte initiated a study applying the
scientific method to the discovery of fundamental laws and
processes concerning the most complex entity in existence,
namely society. Today, we must work to understand the social
dimensions of future life, explore how profound technological
change and globalization are changing human civilization, and
"futurize" the scientific approach to sociology to refocus our
research lens on the realities of people living in the
twenty-first century.
Who should attend:
Scholars with an interest in intellectual history, sociological
and political thought, and the philosophy of science and social
science; practitioners who draw on systems thinking
What you’ll learn: The contributions of Comte to the
development of a science of society, and how a positive
philosophy was applied to social conditions found in the
emerging industrial societies of the period; areas of
applicability of the method developed by Comte and updated by
Bredemeier, Etzioni and others to contemporary problems, issues
and processes
How can this new knowledge be applied: Examples of how
effective guided social change requires a systematic
understanding of the social environment and social forces that
bear on organizational, community, and personal life.
Irene J. Dabrowski,
associate professor, St. John's University, Department of
Sociology and Anthropology, Staten Island, New York
Anthony L. Haynor, associate professor, chair, Department
of Sociology and Anthropology, Seton Hall University, South
Orange, New Jersey
key words:
social forecasting, society
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Learning and
Education
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Special Event
The Great
Challenges, Today and Tomorrow
Let’s focus on the essentials.
What are the greatest challenges of the early 21st
century?
How have they changed from the
late 20th Century? How are they likely to change in the
next decades, both in time and space? How can we
contribute to their mitigation as individuals and as
members of our communities
The challenges are familiar:
global warming, security, the energy transition,
resources, poverty, governance, health threats,
education, population growth, and new technologies. The
key observations about each of these challenges, their
framing, their interlinkages, and how they might change
may not be as familiar. This panel seeks to simplify
without being simplistic: the premise is that a list of
key challenges and key insights about them will help us
to "see the future with new eyes".
Who should attend:
Anyone interested in big
picture futures and discussing the priorities of how
futures studies and the application of futures
techniques can contribute to the mitigation of these
challenges.
What you’ll learn: An appreciation of
the big issues of the day, how they are changing and
what you can do using your foresight to contribute to
their mitigation.
How can this new knowledge be applied: You will
be encouraged and enabled to cross disciplinary lines
and incorporate mitigation of at least some of the great
challenges into your personal and organizational lives.
Jerome C. Glenn,
director Millennium Project , WFUNA,
Washington, D.C.; co-author of the 2008 State of the
Future report.
Michael Marien, founder and editor
of Future Survey, published monthly since 1979
by the World Future Society, Lafayette, New York
key words:
trends, challenges
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends,
Resources and Environment
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Conversation
with Joe
Joseph Coates, author of more
than 500 articles and reports on the futures, shares his
years of expertise on futures issues with the futurist
community in this conversational, informal session. This
dialogue forum is meant as a place where conference
attendees may discuss interests and concerns about the
future. Through informal exchanges with the audience,
Coates will converse on any topic of interest—there are
no constraints on the questions other than they be about
the future.
Joseph F. Coates,
president, Joseph F. Coates Consulting Futurist, Inc.;
co-author, 2025: Scenarios of U.S. and Global Society
Reshaped by Science and Technology, Washington, D.C.
issue areas:
Social and Cultural Trends
What
I Learned as a Futurist
The founding president, of the
World Future Society and editor of The Futurist
magazine, will discuss what he learned by leading a
unique organization devoted to improving people’s
foresight and what he sees as the great opportunities
for the Society in the future.
Edward Cornish,
founder, former president, World Future Society, editor,
The Futurist , author, Bethesda,
Maryland
key words:
foresight, futuring, social inventions, human evolution
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Learning
and Education
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Special Event
A Global
Dialogue for the Future
History is recording that military might
alone cannot resolve today’s widespread conflicts. In order to
achieve solutions, steps toward deep dialogue are necessary
between the parties. The world can no longer accept violent
opposition resorting to destructive and even barbaric acts that
result in long periods of warfare. This panel consists of four
experienced activists promoting global dialogue.
Who should attend:
Those interested in how global cultural conflicts and political
divisions are being resolved using dialogue as the main tool.
What you’ll learn: Attendees will learn the skills and
knowledge which deep dialogue requires.
How can this new knowledge be applied: Participants will
hear actual experiences of leading practitioners involved in
promoting dialogue in Europe, Middle East, South East Asia, and
Africa.
Don Beck, founder, Center for Human Emergence;
co-founder, National Values Center; author, Spiral Dynamics:
Mastering Values, Leadership, and Change and The
Crucible: Forging South Africa’s Future, Denton, Texas
key word:
global dialogue, spiral dynamics
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends, Values and
Spirituality
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DEMOGRAPHICS IS
DESTINY
This panel will examine the declining
birth rate in nations across Europe and other developed
countries versus the soaring birth rates in Middle
East/South East Asia and other developing world countries.
We will examine the contrasting demographics, how these
different generations and populations are relating to one
another,,, potential dangers and the reasons for hope.
Who should attend:
Those involved globally, educators, sociologists, cultural
anthropologists.
What you’ll learn: Transformation taking place
between diverse cultures due to generational changes and
their effects.
How can this new knowledge be applied: From
generational experts...insights as to where young people in
world are headed globally.
Josh Calder,
director, Global Lifestyles project, Socialproject, Social
Technologies, Washington, D.C.
Yasin Dada-Jones, served in Office of the Presidency
in South Africa, chief director: Social Sector, in Policy
Coordination and Advisory Service, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
John Milewski, (moderator) special projects director
at NEWSEUM; formerly with Closeup Foundation and C-Span,
Washington, D.C.
key words:
demography, generations
issue area: Social and Cultural Trends
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Opening
Keynotes
Creating the Future Through New Eyes
The world is not flat.
We are moving past our present
multidimensional world to the extra
dimensional globe just around the corner. If
the present world were flat, then it would
not just be goods and services moving around
the globe without barriers; it would also
mean best practices would be adopted quickly
and effectively. There continue to be
significant obstacles to:
water management,
protection and
care of women and children, the elderly
and the sick,
carbon
sequestration and reduction,
access to
excellent education and good employment,
etc.
Who should attend:
Business leaders, government and public
policy officials, non-profit managers and
educators concerned with the global economy
and new ways of thinking about it.
What you’ll learn: Attendees will better
understand the barriers to innovative
change, including the cognitive, political,
social and academic impediments. Case
studies such as global microlending will be
examined, as well as cutting edge dynamics
in the frontiers of extra dimensionality,
including cognitive gender dynamics, the
power of non-tangibles in change and the
critical nature of evolving intelligence.
How can this new knowledge be applied:
By examining the importance of non-linear
and non-rational information, new metrics
can be developed that can better address a
radial model of global connection. The goal
will be to enhance anticipatory and
proactive approaches to create more
effective performance and institutions.
Edie Weiner,
president, Weiner, Edrich, Brown, Inc;
co-author, FutureThink: How to Think
Clearly in a Time of Change, New York,
New York
key words:
microlending, gender dynamics, change
issue area: Social and Cultural Trends,
Governance and Communities, Resource and
Environment
Your Future in an
“Everyone a ChangemakerTM”
World
Ashoka
is the global association of the world’s
leading social entrepreneurs—men and women
with system-changing solutions for the
world’s most urgent social problems. Since
1981, Ashoka has elected over 2,000 leading
social entrepreneurs as Ashoka Fellows,
providing them with living stipends,
professional support, and access to a global
network of peers in more than 70 countries.
This speaker will discuss how and why, over
the past 30 years, the growth of the citizen
sector has quickly outpaced that of the
traditional business world. Additionally, he
will discuss how
young people are
the last big group to set out on this
journey; they must start early to become
powerful and cause change. Highlighting
Fellows’ work and
discussing the historical relevance of the
social entrepreneur movement in today’s
world and for the future,
he
will
illustrate how we can experience an
“everyone a changemakerTM” world.
Who should attend:
Youth and adults who are interested in
knowing more about the role of social
entrepreneurs in changing the world.
What you’ll learn:
Attendees will learn how they can be part of
the largest citizen sector movement in the
world and how they can apply their
entrepreneurial passion to flip the systems
that are limiting the citizen sector’s
ability to creatively, innovatively, and
effectively solve some of the world’s most
intractable social problems.
How can this new knowledge be applied:
The new knowledge
can be applied by youth and adults to learn
how they too can be social entrepreneurs and
changemakers in our future world.
Bill Drayton,
CEO, founder, and chairman, Ashoka:
Innovations for the Public, Arlington,
Virginia; former assistant administrator,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Washington, D.C.
key words:
entrepreneurship, global citizens
issue area:
Social and Cultural Trends, Business and
Careers
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Sunday
Luncheon
Cycles:
How We Will Live, Work, and Buy
With decades to go before
they encounter old age, baby boomers now have
more knowledge, money, and social
influence—including a taste for reinvention—than
at any previous time in their lives. Yesterday’s
"linear" model of aging/living is being replaced
by a new "cyclic" life paradigm—bursting with
gender equality, continued personal growth,
career reinvention, liberated leisure, rekindled
relationships, financial freedom, and enhanced
spending power. However, it also poses serious
challenges that are uncharted territory.
Who should attend:
Business leaders, government and public policy
officials, nonprofit managers, and educators
interested in new ways of thinking about the
impacts of aging on our society, economy, and
marketplace.
What you’ll learn:
Attendees will better understand the answers to
a series of critical questions. These include:
Will the demographically driven age wave produce
pandemics of chronic disease, thus needing a
wide range of innovative and cost-effective
solutions? How far will baby boomers go in their
pursuit of the "fountain of health"? Will
boomers have the financial and emotional
wherewithal to cope with aging parents and
boomerang children, as well as trying to fulfill
their own retirement dreams?
How can this new
knowledge be applied:
Based on research findings from numerous highly
acclaimed studies of work and retirement
conducted by Age Wave, this presentation will
provide an illuminating vision of tomorrow’s new
retirement dreams. This vision will assist in an
understanding of how rising longevity, the aging
of the population, and the personality style of
the boomer generation are converging to
transform the way we live, work, and buy.
key words:
aging, demographics, baby boomer
issue areas: Social and Cultural Trends,
Business and Careers
Maddy Dychtwald,
executive vice president,
co-founder, Age Wave; author, San Francisco, California
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Evening
Keynote
The Future of Terrorism: An International
Perspective
The confusing
immediate impact of 9/11 on the security
psyche has lifted, and responses need to be
clarified. Terrorism prevention and response
planning and programming are starting to
surface in many law enforcement agencies.
Much of it is regionally networked and
information and intelligence focused.
A tightening resource situation parallels
the expanding post-9/11 mission. Law
enforcement leaders must educate citizens,
government leaders, and especially
legislators—those with financial
powers—about domestic and international
security issues, dangers, and financial
requirements in order to ready an effective
response.
There is widespread concern that the
monumental public trust accomplishments of
the past decade will erode as homeland
security priorities take center stage.
Illegal immigration is a huge problem for
local law enforcement as well as for
international law enforcement.
Leadership requirements are needed to cope
with new missions and issues. New knowledge
and better practices information are
required to augment homeland security while
retaining the integrity of traditional core
missions.
Homeland security programs worth replicating
are exceedingly difficult, attesting to both
the need for innovative strategies and the
rudimentary level of development work to
date. The field is particularly anxious to
assemble the assets required to address
terrorism, most importantly prevention
assets.
Who should attend:
All those interested in international
security and how we will address terrorism
in the future.
What you’ll learn: Attendees will
learn some innovative strategies that
security agencies need to implement in order
to address terrorism issues.
How can this new knowledge be applied:
This information will help educate citizens,
government leaders, and legislatures so the
world can maintain the public trust.
Kim C. Dine,
police chief, Frederick, Maryland; former
assistant chief, Metropolitan Police
Department, Washington, D.C.
Craig Fraser,
director management service, Police
Executive Research Forum, Washington, D.C.
Al Youngs (moderator), professor,
University of Phoenix; president, The Youngs
Group; member, FBI Futures Working Group,
Lakewood, Colorado
(Other speakers to be announced)
key words:
terrorism, security, immigration
issue area: Social and Cultural Trends,
Governance and Communities
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The
Future of Law Enforcement: Media Images
Images of the future in the popular
media serve to condition our expectations about the future.
When a particular image becomes widespread, it becomes an
attractor or repulsor, depending on how we respond to it.
These images inspire people to work towards making the image
a reality, or alternatively to prevent such an outcome.
Policing has long been a favored subject
of the media. Westerns, mysteries, action flicks, comedies and
dramas have drawn on crime and the police for heroes and
villains. On the big screen and on television, policing has
captured audiences. In some cases, these stories have taken
place in future worlds.
This presentation will examine images of
the future of policing found in various media, particularly film
and television. These images are analyzed for insight into the
implications for the future.
Who should attend:
Anyone interested in law enforcement, governance, society or
scenario development should attend.
What you’ll learn: Attendees will learn how the images of
the future of policing condition our expectations of the future.
How can this new knowledge be applied: The material
presented is generally applicable in life, preparing attendees
for the possible changes in society. It also helps attendees
become more sensitive to the media’s effect on our expectations
of the future.
Jeff Hynes,
commander, Phoenix Police Department, Phoenix, Arizona
John Jackson, treasurer, Police Futurists International,
Houston, Texas
Gene Stephens, professor emeritus, Univeristy of South Carolina: charter member, Police Futurists Intl,
member;FBI Futures Working Group, Columbia, South Carolina
key words:
policing, media
issue areas: Governance and Communities, Social and
Cultural Trends
For more information contact: World Future
Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue, Suite
450, Bethesda, Maryland 20814;
Tel: 1-800-989-8274 or 1-301-656-8274; Fax: 1-301-951-0394;
Web Site:
www.wfs.org; E-mail:
sechard@wfs.org.
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